Optimizing deep learning trading bots using state-of-the

Creating Bitcoin trading bots that don’t lose money using deep reinforcement learning

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Using reinforcement learning to trade Bitcoin for massive profit

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Using reinforcement learning to trade Bitcoin for massive profit

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Using reinforcement learning to trade Bitcoin for massive profit

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Trading Bitcoin with Reinforcement Learning

Trading Bitcoin with Reinforcement Learning submitted by arshakn to Bitcoin [link] [comments]

Trading Bitcoin with Reinforcement Learning

Trading Bitcoin with Reinforcement Learning submitted by BitcoinAllBot to BitcoinAll [link] [comments]

Using reinforcement learning to trade Bitcoin for massive profit

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Using reinforcement learning (OpenAI Gym) to trade Bitcoin for massive profit

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Using reinforcement learning to trade Bitcoin for massive profit

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Using reinforcement learning to trade Bitcoin for massive profit

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Using Reinforcement Learning To Trade Bitcoin For Massive Profit

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Using reinforcement learning to trade Bitcoin for massive profit

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Using Reinforcement Learning To Trade Bitcoin For Massive Profit

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First time playing with deep-q learning decided to try and make a BTC trading bot and failed of course. Looking for opinions and pointers to improve on

Hey guys!
So, I was interested in reinforcement learning for quite some time now and just wanted to try it out. As a result, ended up trying to build a Bitcoin trading bot. I know, I should have selected something more understandable for myself for starters, but it is what it is.
Not an expert on reinforcement learning or even deep learning. Just someone who's trying to learn through practice and courses on parallel.
Just wanted to get some opinions on the work done. Perhaps you could give me some pointers or if you see any major mistakes that I should avoid or some other approaches that I could have taken and provide them as comment that would be great.
Here's the link to my last video: Last episode of my 3 part series
Hope you all are having a good day!
submitted by AdamusEdenus to learnmachinelearning [link] [comments]

WaykiChain CEO Gordon Gao: What is WaykiChain doing now?

WaykiChain CEO Gordon Gao: What is WaykiChain doing now?
https://preview.redd.it/i6sd5ax60ow41.jpg?width=1200&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=8d4171bd4831ce2cfd6fa0bd9b598888d3a100cb
Recently, there have been many thoughts on the development direction of blockchain and WaykiChain. I have found some certainty in the world of uncertainty. How does WaykiChain understand the development of the public chain? What is WaykiChain development direction based on these understandings? What should the community expect and pay attention to? I will share with you the answers to these questions.
How does WICC increase prices?
WICC is the basic digital currency on the WaykiChain public chain. According to its white paper, when this coin was issued in the early period, more than 70% of the chips were in circulation in the secondary market This is a relatively high proportion, comparing to most of blockchain projects. This high circulation ratio is like a double-edged sword. The disadvantage is that foundation has relatively weak control over its value in the secondary market. It is also difficult to manipulate the price to create some false market value to deceive the public. The advantage is that WICC can have a wide range of coin holders and community members. Meanwhile, more coin holders mean that when WICC is found to have price increase expectations, such expectations will be spread by the population, which can result in a large-scale network effect. In 2018, WaykiChain relied on this network effect to make a big hit in the market. At that time, the number of WICC holders was about 100,000 (WICC holders in exchange).
However, the communities merely brought by price increase expectations are not sustainable. Those people came because of profit, and they will leave because of no profit. Those who made money or lost money on WaykiChain will scold after the currency price fell. In the bear market, it is almost difficult for people to have confidence in altcoins. It is difficult for people to invest in your long-term future with real money no matter what expectations they receive. Then, how to make WICC valuable in this bear market? We can conclude by the nature of price increases, which is fewer people selling and more people buying.
Staking economy is an effective way to achieve“few people selling”. This kind of gameplay is not widely used in the traditional field as it is in the crypto circle.
Most of Staking’s gameplay is to give you a dollar profit to make you unwilling to sell your 100 dollar coins. This approach may have a positive effect in the short term, but in the long term, it is no different from the Ponzi scheme. The other method is the DeFi. In DeFi, people need to collateralize their coins and get something that can bring value to them. For example, mortgage lending. When you are unwilling to sell your coins and lack money, the CDP mortgage lending system can meet your needs. At this time, the WICC in your hand becomes a “ticket” to participate in the CDP mortgage lending system. The collateralization generated by this real demand is often solid because such users are less likely to quit fast. Because they benefit from WaykiChain and believe this kind of service will generate value, so it is not a zero-sum game. In the end, most of the people here are winners, so they cherish their chips.
Once there are more users, there should be more reasons for them to buy more continuously. The reason for most people who buy token is nothing more than to see some good news which can be predicted. Halving is predicted, so there was a decent run at the start of the year. The World Cup was also a prediction and it is a piece of good news for betting-related blockchain. This prediction of a high degree of certainty in time can prompt a frenzied influx. But other than this quadrennial prediction(Halving or World Cup) of events, what expectations do you have for the community?
The first is the technical aspect. A good technical public chain can attract more developers, and more developers can build more business models and have more imagination.
To realize the expectation of the business model, users should value the future business growth of your current track and the most direct promotion of the economic model after the growth. For example, the growth of the mortgage lending business. The total collateral of WICC gets bigger ->Less liquidated WICC ->WICC’ s unit price raises with the demand stays the same. Or growth in mortgage lending->WGRT destruction becomes more numerous->WGRT’s unit price raises. This business model creates a rigid value in a currency.
Finally, there comes the marketing ability, the user toned to trust that you are able to attract more investors at some point in the future. All financial activities generate bubbles, and how big an asset you end up with depends both on how much beer you have and how much bubble you can pour. If building business value is about brewing, marketing, and storytelling, it’s about pouring beer out of the bubble.
About liquidity
When it comes to liquidity, some people’s understanding of liquidity of a coin is to be listed on more exchanges, some people know a bit about some financial markets, so they say liquidity is the depth of the order book. I recently get some inspirations from David in Coinbase. Liquidity can be measured by the time you spend to convert an asset to purchase power.
Cash is with the best liquidity, as it is almost equal to purchasing power. Property is less liquid because there are very few situations where you buy something directly from the house. Usually, you will have to turn it into cash and buy something else. So there’s a long period between when you decide to sell the house and when you get the money, and the longer that period is, the less liquid it is. USDT is relatively liquid because OTC transactions, which is a mature market in the current situation, allow people to convert the USDT into fiat money in minutes.
Note that the above mentioned is to turn assets into purchasing power, rather than cash out. These two are essentially different. For example, if I want to purchase some service from a crypto media, I often use Eth, BTC, USDT, not cash. So I don’t need to sell off my digital currency to exchange cash, but directly pay it, which becomes purchasing power. From this perspective, any merchant accepting digital currency payments is enhancing the liquidity of the digital currency. Because he shortens the time it takes for assets to become purchasing power.
As I said before, the keyword of the Internet fights is traffic, and the keyword of digital currency is liquidity. Much of what WICC does is to increase liquidity. Listing on Exchange shortens the time for WICC to transform into the purchasing power of other digital currencies. In real application scenarios, many people are reluctant to undertake the risk of digital currency fluctuations. They only like to denominate in fiat currency, so WUSD (stablecoin) that is generated by collateralizing WICC has better potential than WICC to become purchasing power. Huatong Security accepts WUSD as a payment method to buy HK/US Pre-IPO stocks shortens the time when some people want to convert WUSD into the purchasing power of Hong Kong and US stocks (In the normal process, this user must first sell, exchange fiat currency, and then open an account to buy Hong Kong and US stocks). The new project WaykiX shortens the time required to transform WICC into the purchasing power of investing in various assets around the world.
Bitcoin’s technology has not been greatly updated since its inception, but its value remains the leader because of its liquidity. Similarly, in my opinion, the market value of USDT has soared because liquidity is becoming more and more mature. WaykiChain’s future development is also inseparable from liquidity.
About Defi
As mentioned above, liquidity is important. If you want to improve liquidity, you can cash out first and use cash to purchase most of things you want. However cash out itself is not what a project expects, because it will dump the price when a lot of people doing that. Therefore, collateralizing assets, generating stablecoins, and then enabling stablecoins to generate purchasing power has become a perfect model, which is the essence of WaykiChain 3-Token Economy Model.
Regarding purchasing power, first we need to know what users want to buy. Many public chain projects, including WaykiChain, have begun to explore what kind of products and services that users want to buy. For example, betting products, value-added game services, or even e-commerce. All of these end up with nearly no results. As speculators’ paradise, the cryptocurrency circle usually care about borrowing money to make money. So, there is nothing more interesting for them than lending and making money. These people may not have the need to play games or buy things, but they must have the demand to make money. Therefore, finance must be the right direction for blockchain projects. WaykiChain will all in DeFi for at least the next two years.
Many people say that WUSD is a stablecoin, so it needs to be compared with USDT. Rather than emphasize WUSD itself, I would rather like to say that WaykiChain ’s CDP is a lending system and service, and WUSD is just a stable value certificate. I am more concerned about the capacity of the CDP lending business itself, and whether it can provide users with the value of lending. As for when WUSD can become a freely circulating currency, it will take a long time to see how much purchasing power is endowed. Maybe at first, WUSD could buy WICC, WGRT, then the index of various global assets, then other digital currencies, then some Hong Kong stocks and US stocks, and finally maybe you can buy two packs of snacks with WUSD downstairs.
Simple preview of the new product WaykiX, users can trade all kinds of global assets, including digital currencies, indices, stocks, commodity futures, and even contracts. We have high expectations for this product because we feel it can meet the “purchase” needs of most existing community users. This product learns from the Synthetix project and adds some local elements of WaykiChain, including the technical security reinforcement, as well as the improvement of the economic model and the risk resistance level.
Someone asked, Ethereum has a complete DeFi ecosystem, and there are countless projects to start a business together. Why does WaykiChain have the power to fight with Ether? I would like to share a few points. The DeFi of Ethereum is aimed at users of Ethereum. We are currently targeting WaykiChain users. There is no conflict at present. In addition, DeFi seems to have a variety of patterns. It is nothing more than the four major categories of deposits, loans, liquidity, and derivatives. Our current developer community is not as prosperous as Ethereum, so WaykiChain uses a point-to-face model to first construct the core and head of DeFi to ensure quality and safety. When it can form a minimum closed-loop, and then let developers support those long-tail applications. Although it is a bit contrary to the concept of decentralization, we believe that this is an indispensable process for the implementation of the blockchain public chain。
About community
I mentioned three directions in the first chapter on how to create the value of WaykiChain, the first is technology, the second is business model and applications, and the third is the marketing model and bubble.
In fact, a healthy blockchain community is also attracted by these three parts of value, a core developer community, some coin holders with business needs, and a group of speculation or investors. To achieve the top five public chains in the world, these three groups must be huge.
WaykiChain attracts the core developer community through the leading technology mechanism and the friendliness of public chain development. This is the reason why WaykiChain has invested a lot of resources in the technical level of the public chain.
WaykiChain continues to create value for currency holders to meet their needs through the DeFi business.
And eye-catching marketing methods to attract investors and speculators when market conditions improve and new market capital are sufficient.
The bull market is short while the bear market is long. In the bear market, WaykiChain needs to continue to play at the table in a way with a high winning rate. These are my personal opinions. Welcome to discuss more with me.
submitted by Waykichain to WICCProject [link] [comments]

Bull Bitcoin’s Dollar-Cost Averaging tool for Canadians: a detailed overview

Hello fellow Canadian Bitcoiners!
I'm Francis Pouliot, CEO and founder of Bull Bitcoin (previously known as Bitcoin Outlet) and Bylls.
I haven't been active on Reddit for a while but I thought I'd pop back here to let the community know about our new dollar-cost averaging feature, "Recurring Buy"
This post is a copy of my most recent medium article which you can read here if you want to see the screenshots. https://medium.com/bull-bitcoin/bull-bitcoins-dollar-cost-averaging-tool-for-canadians-the-right-time-to-buy-bitcoin-is-every-day-82a992ca22c1
Thanks in advance for any feedback and suggestions!
[Post starts here]
The Bull Bitcoin team is constantly trying to reduce the frictions ordinary people face when investing in Bitcoin and propose innovative features which ensure our users follow Bitcoin best practices and minimize their risks.
We are particularly excited and proud about our latest feature: an automated Bitcoin dollar-cost averaging tool which we dubbed “Recurring Buy”.
The Recurring Buy feature lets Bull Bitcoin users create an automated schedule that will buy Bitcoin every day using the funds in their account balance and send the Bitcoin directly to their Bitcoin wallet straight away.
We put a lot of thought in the implementation details and striking the right trade-offs for a simple and elegant solution. Our hope is that it will become a standard other Bitcoin exchanges will emulate for the benefit of their users. This standard will certainly evolve over time as we accumulate feedback and operational experience.
In this article, I cover:
The problem that we are trying to solve
Recurring Buy feature details, processes and instructions
The rationale (and tradeoffs) behind the main feature design choices
Bull Bitcoin is only available to Canadians, but non-Canadians that wish to have a look at how it works are welcome to make a Bull Bitcoin account and check out how it works here. You will be able to go through the process of create the schedule for testing purposes, but you wont be able to fund your account and actually purchase Bitcoin.
What problems does Dollar-Cost Averaging solve?
The most common concern of Bitcoin investors is, not surprisingly, “when is the right time to buy Bitcoin?”. Bitcoin is indeed a very volatile asset. A quick glance at a Bitcoin price chart shows there are without a doubt “worse times” and “better times” to invest in Bitcoin. But is that the same as the “right” time?
Gurus, analysts and journalists continuously offer their theories explaining what affects the Bitcoin price, supported by fancy trading charts and geopolitical analysis, further reinforcing the false notion that it is possible to predict the price of Bitcoin.
Newbies are constantly bombarded with mainstream media headlines of spectacular gains and devastating losses. For some, this grows into an irresistible temptation to get rich quick. Others become crippled with the fear of becoming “the sucker” on which early adopters dump their bags.
Veterans are haunted by past Bitcoin purchases which were quickly followed by a crash in the price. “I should have waited to buy the dip…”
Many Bitcoin veterans and long-term investors often shrug off the question of when is the right time to buy with the philosophy: “just hodl”. But even those holding until their death will recognize that buying more Bitcoin for the same price is a better outcome.
Given the very high daily volatility of Bitcoin, a hodler can find himself in many years having significantly less wealth just because he once bought Bitcoin on a Monday instead of a Wednesday. His options are either to leave it up to chance or make an attempt to “time the market” and “buy the dip”, which can turn into a stressful trading obsession, irrational decisions (which have a negative impact on budget, income and expenses) and severe psychological trauma. In addition, trying to “buy the dip” is often synonymous to keeping large amounts of fiat on an exchange to be ready for “when the time comes”.
There must be a better way.
Bitcoin investors should be rewarded for having understood Bitcoin’s long-term value proposition early on, for having taken the risk to invest accordingly and for having followed best practices. Not for being lucky.
Overview of features and rules
In this section I go into every detail of the Recurring Buy feature. In the following section, I focus on explaining why we chose this particular user experience.
The user first decides his target investment amount. Ideally, this is a monthly budget or yearly budget he allocates to investing in Bitcoin based on his projected income and expenses.
The user then chooses either the duration of the Recurring Buy schedule or the daily purchase amount. The longer the better.
The frequency is each day and cannot be modified.
The user must submit a Bitcoin address before activating a Recurring Buy schedule. By default, every transaction will be sent to that Bitcoin address. It’s the fallback address in case they don’t provide multiple addresses later.
Once the user has filled the form with target amount, the duration and the Bitcoin address, he can activate the Recurring Buy Schedule.
The user is not required to already have funds in his account balance to activate the schedule.
We will randomly select a time of day at which his transaction will be processed (every hour, so 24 possible times). If the user insists on another time of day, he can cancel his Recurring Buy schedule and try again.


The Recurring Buy feature as displayed on bullbitcoin.com/recurring-buys
The schedule is then displayed to the user, showing the time and date at which transactions that will take place in the future. The user will be able to see how long his current balance will last.
He can follow the progress of the dollar-cost averaging schedule, monitor in real time his average acquisition cost, and audit each transaction individually.
At this point, the user can and should change the Bitcoin address of his next transactions to avoid address re-use. Address re-use is not forbidden, but it is highly discouraged.
After having modified the Bitcoin addresses, there is nothing left for the user to do except watch the bitcoins appear in his Bitcoin wallet every day!
The Bitcoins are sent right away at the time of purchase.
Bitcoin transactions using the Recurring Buy feature will have the lowest possible Bitcoin network transaction fee to avoid creating upwards pressure on the fee market impact other network users.


What users see after first activating a schedule
The Recurring Buy schedule will be cancelled automatically at the time of the next purchase if the balance is insufficient. He can add more funds to his balance whenever he wants.
The Recurring Buy schedule will continue until the target amount is reached or until the account balance runs out.
The user can cancel his Recurring Buy schedule whenever he wants.
If the user wants to change the amount or duration of the schedule, he can simply cancel his current schedule and create a new one.
Each schedule has a unique identifier so that users can keep track of various schedules they perform over time.
Once a schedule is completed, either fully or partially, a summary will be provided which shows the number of transactions completed, the average acquisition cost, the total amount of Bitcoin purchase and the total amount of fiat spent. Useful for accounting!


A partially completed Recurring Buy schedule cancelled after 9 days due to insufficient funds
Though process in making our design choices
Recurring Bitcoin Purchases vs. Recurring Payment/Funding
The first and most important design choice was to separate the processes of funding the account balance with fiat (the payment) from the process of buying Bitcoin (the purchase). Users do not need to make a bank transaction every time they do a Bitcoin purchase. They first fund their account manually on their own terms, and the recurring purchases are debited from their pre-funded account balance.
Another approach would have been to automatically withdraw fiat from the user’s bank account (e.g. a direct debit or subscription billing) for each transaction (like our friends at Amber) or to instruct the user to set-up recurring payments to Bull Bitcoin from their bank account (like our friends at Bittr). The downside of these strategies is that they require numerous bank transactions which increases transaction fees and the likelihood of triggering fraud and compliance flags at the user’s bank. However, this does remove the user’s need to keep larger amounts of fiat on the exchange and reduces the friction of having to make manual bank payments.
Bull Bitcoin is currently working on a separate “Recurring Funding” feature that will automatically debit fiat from the user’s bank accounts using a separate recurring schedule with a minimum frequency of once a week, with a target of once every two weeks or once a month to match the user’s income frequency. This can, and will, be used in combination from the “Recurring Buy” feature, but both can be used separately.
The ultimate experience that we wish to achieve is that users will automatically set aside, each paycheck (two weeks), a small budget to invest in Bitcoin using the “Recurring Funding” feature which is sufficient to refill their account balance for the next two weeks of daily recurring purchases.
Frequency of transactions
The second important decision was about customizing the frequency of the schedule. We decided to make it “each day” only. This is specifically to ensure users have a large enough sample size and remain consistent which are the two key components to a successful dollar-cost averaging strategy.
A higher amount of recurring transactions (larger sample size) will result in the user’s average acquisition being closer to the actual average Bitcoin price over that period of time. Weekly or monthly recurring purchases can provide the same effectiveness if they are performed over a duration of time which is 7x longer (weekly) or 30x longer (monthly).
It is our belief that the longer the duration of the schedule, the more likely the user is to cancel the recurring buy schedule in order to “buy the dip”. Dollar-cost averaging is boring, and watching sats appear in the wallet every day is a good way to reduce the temptation of breaking the consistency.
We do not force this on users: they can still cancel the schedule if they want and go all-in. We consider it more of a gentle nudge in the right direction.
Frequency of withdrawals (one purchase = one bitcoin transaction)
This is one of the most interesting design choices because it is a trade-off between scalability (costs), privacy and custody. Ultimately, we decided that trust-minimization (no custody) and privacy were the most important at the expense of long-term scalability and costs.
Realistically, Bitcoin network fees are currently low and we expect them to remain low for the near future, although they will certainly increase massively over the long-term. One of the ways we mitigated this problem was to select the smallest possible transaction fee for transactions done in the context of Recurring Buy, separate from regular transaction fees on regular Bitcoin purchases (which, at Bull Bitcoin, are very generous).
Note: users must merge their UTXOs periodically to avoid being stuck with a large amount of small UTXOs in the future when fees become more expensive. This is what makes me most uncomfortable about our solution. I hope to also solve this problem, but it is ultimately something Bitcoin wallets need to address as well. Perhaps an automated tool in Bitcoin wallets which merges UTXOs periodically when the fees are low? Food for thought.
When transaction fees and scalability becomes a problem for us, it will have become a problem for all other small payments on the Bitcoin network, and we will use whatever solution is most appropriate at that time.
It is possible that Lightning Network ends up being the scalability solution, although currently it is logistically very difficult to perform automated payouts to users using Lightning, particularly recurring payouts, which require users to create Bolt11 invoices and to convince other peers in the network to open channels and fund channels with them for inbound capacity.
These are the general trade-offs:
Send a Bitcoin transaction for every purchase (what we do) - Most expensive for the exchange - Most expensive for the user (many UTXOs) - Increases Bitcoin Network UTXOs set - Inefficient usage of block space - Most private - Zero custody risk
Keep custody of the Bitcoin until the schedule is over or when the user requests a withdrawal (what Coinbase does) - No additional costs -No blockchain bloating - Same level of privacy - High custody risk
Batch user transactions together at fixed intervals (e.g. every day) - Slightly lower transaction costs for the exchange - Same costs for the user - Slightly more efficient use of block space - Same level of UTXO set bloating - Much lower level of privacy - Slightly higher custody risk
Single address vs multiple addresses vs HD keys (xpubs)
The final decision we had to make was preventing address re-use and allowing users to provide an HD key (xpub) rather than a Bitcoin address.
Address re-use generally decreases privacy because it becomes possible for third-party blockchain snoops to figure out that multiple Bitcoin transactions are going to the same user. But we must also consider that even transactions are sent to multiple addresses, particularly if they are small amounts, it is highly likely that the user will “merge” the coins into a single transaction when spending from his wallet. It is always possible for users to prevent this using Coinjoin, in which there is a large privacy gain in not re-using addresses compared to using a single address.
It is important to note that this does not decrease privacy compared to regular Bitcoin purchases on Bull Bitcoin outside of “Recurring Buy”. Whether a user has one transaction of $1000 going to a Bitcoin address or 10x$100 going that same Bitcoin address doesn’t reveal any new information about the user other than the fact he is likely using a dollar-cost averaging mechanism. It is rather a missed opportunity to gain more privacy.
Another smaller decision was whether or not we should ask the user to provide all his addresses upfront before being able to activate the schedule, which would completely remove the possibility of address re-use. We ultimately decided that because this process can take a very long time (imagine doing Recurring Buy every day for 365 days) it is better to let the user do this at his own pace, particularly because he may eventually change his Bitcoin wallet and forget to change the addresses in the schedule.
There are also various legitimate use-cases where users have no choice but to re-use the same address . A discussion for another day!
Asking the user to provide an XPUB is a great solution to address re-use. The exchange must dynamically derive a new Bitcoin address for the user at each transaction, which is not really a technical challenge. As far as I can tell, Bittr is the only Bitcoin exchange exchange which has implemented this technique. Kudos!
It is however important that the user doesn’t reuse this XPUB for anything else, otherwise the exchange can track his entire wallet balance and transaction history.
It is worth noting that not all wallets support HD keys or have HD keys by default (e.g. Bitcoin Core). So it is imperative that we offer the option to give Bitcoin addresses. We believe there is a lot of potential to create wallet coordination mechanisms between senders and recipients which would make this process a lot more streamlined.
In the future, we will certainly allow users to submit an XPUB instead of having to manually input a different address. But for now, we wanted to reduce the complexity to a minimum.
Conclusion: personal thoughts
I have a somewhat unique perspective on Bitcoin users due to the fact that I worked at the Bitcoin Embassy for almost 4 years. During this time, I had the opportunity to discuss face-to-face with thousands of Bitcoin investors. One of my favourite anecdotes is a nocoiner showing up at our office in December 2013 with a bag full of cash attempting to buy Bitcoin, “I know how to read a chart”, furious after being turned away. Many people who went “all-in” for short-term gains (usually altcoins) would show up to the Bitcoin Embassy office months later with heart-breaking stories.
This isn’t what I signed up for. My goal is to help people opt-out of fiat and, ultimately, to destroy the fiat currency system entirely.
This instilled in me a deep-rooted concern for gambling addiction and strong aversion to “trading”. I do not believe that Bitcoin exchanges should blindly follow “what the market dictates”. More often than not, what dictates the market is bad habits users formed because of the other Bitcoin services they used in the past, what other people are used to, and what feels familiar. Running a Bitcoin company should be inseparable from educating users on the best practices, and embedding these best practices into the user experience is the best way for them to learn.
Another important anecdote which motivated me to build a dollar-cost averaging tool is a person very close to me that had made the decision to buy Bitcoin, but was so stressed out about when was the right time to buy that they ended up not buying Bitcoin for a whole 6 months after funding their Bull Bitcoin account. That person eventually gave up and ultimately invested a large amount all at once. In hindsight, it turned out to be one of the worst possible times to invest in Bitcoin during that year.
Investing in Bitcoin can, and should be, a positive and rewarding experience.
Buying Bitcoin every day is the right strategy, but it is not necessarily lead to the best outcome.
The reality is that the best time to buy Bitcoin is at when market hits rock bottom (obviously). Sometimes, the upside from buying the dip can be much bigger than the risk (e.g. when the price dropped below $200 in 2015). But these are exceptions rather than the rule. And the cost of chasing dips is very high: stress, investing time and mental energy, and the very real psychological trauma which results from making bad trading decisions. Ultimately, it’s better to do the right thing than being lucky, but it’s not always a bad idea to cheat on your dollar-cost averaging from time to time if you can live with the costs and consequences.
Yours truly,
Francis
submitted by FrancisPouliot to BitcoinCA [link] [comments]

The results of the Streamr Community Survey are in! Find out what first attracted the Streamr community to the project, what motivates them, and what they'd like to see in future. Thanks to all who participated!

The results of the Streamr Community Survey are in! Find out what first attracted the Streamr community to the project, what motivates them, and what they'd like to see in future. Thanks to all who participated!

Streamr Community Survey Results

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Inspired by the Community Fund, Streamr recently conducted a survey to better understand the community and gain insights into the effectiveness of Streamr messaging.
Below is a summary of the most insightful answers and Streamr’s response (qualitative answers have been summarised by theme and incorporated into the charts).

1. When and how did you first learn about Streamr?


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Exchanges and token searching are the leading ways in which the Streamr community discovered the project. Social media follows in second. This might indicate that those with an interest in token trading comprise the majority of respondents.
Social media use and word of mouth also show their influence, which falls in line with Streamr marketing intelligence.
The prominence of the Bitfinex exchange and ICO suggest that many respondents have been following the project from its early days.

2. What first attracted you to the Streamr project?


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Many respondents indicated that the Streamr tech stack and goal drew their interest to the project, with a particular emphasis on data monetisation and individual ownership.
This emphasis is not surprising because much of Streamr’s recent messaging has focused on the upcoming Data Unions framework and data monetisation holds the most day-to-day use potential for non-devs.
“The concept of decentralizing and monetising data.” “Giving people back control of their data sounded like a worthy project and the IoT examples sounded like ideal application of blockchain technology.”
The Network, Marketplace, and decentralization of the data economy also came through in the answers.
“It is interesting how Streamr wants to build a decentralized data network based on a blockchain other than Bitcoin. Something scalable that allows connection to IoT devices.” “Decentralized IoT and the idea of a data marketplace where buyers and sellers meet and establish a price for possibly huge amounts of data.”

3. Which tool/development area are you most interested in?


https://preview.redd.it/luygx7cp8aj41.png?width=3224&format=png&auto=webp&s=be4a99995bc2f540edb2cc7ad88aa8ac1305cddc
The popularity of Data Unions, followed closely by the popularity of the Marketplace, reinforce the sentiment that emerged in answers to question two; the Streamr community is captured by the idea of selling their data.
The Network falls slightly behind, despite being arguably the central element of the project. This might be expected due to its highly technical nature and the recent focus on Data Unions.

4. On which channels do you engage with Streamr content or the community?


https://preview.redd.it/5op2fw73aaj41.png?width=3224&format=png&auto=webp&s=293cdcc283f7028f6263a53ccd1b2c84cc208768
No surprises that Telegram, Twitter, and Reddit continue to drive the community engagement. This may highlight that respondents here are primarily of a non-technical background, with only a handful visiting the Community Dev Forum.

5. What do you currently like most about the project?


https://preview.redd.it/fge20bnr8aj41.png?width=3224&format=png&auto=webp&s=d6b40bb450e728b873200653f782b44d6d2dd1c5
The results here were harder to pin down to distinct themes, with Swash taking a narrow lead, followed by Streamr team (thanks!), and enthusiasm for the project’s tech goal of making real-time data more open and tradeable.
“Swash… All the potential DApps that can be built on Streamr… And taking back control of our data.”
The potential of the Streamr stack to act as a platform for others to build on, a platform for existing projects to integrate with, and a tool for a more fluid data economy also came across.
“Swash! Because it is very pragmatic and actually produces the data in decentralized environment. […] At the moment, the most difficult part [in a] data economy is ‘having meta data’ because no one shares. Swash and similar DApps produce this for Streamr.” “The idea of revolutionising the data economy… And the good community.”

6. Apart from the token price, what do you dislike or what would you like to see the project do differently?


https://preview.redd.it/0urbj40w8aj41.png?width=3224&format=png&auto=webp&s=871958c3277bdcb4d073af5b186075d7252a7f73
It’s clear from these results, and other discussion in the community, that three key areas of uncertainty come forward:
  1. Tokenomics/token functionality understanding
“It’s a bit disheartening to see that token economics is talked about probably once or twice a year (when prompted by community members pushing for updates on it).” “Staking the token as part of the network. Its the only reason a lot of people were interested originally. Please don’t push it back further. Streamr should also be prepared to talk about the token — it feels like Streamr always has to be forced to mention it.” “Tokeneconomics. Now you know who I am. 😁”
It’s true that despite various discussions in the community, direct comms on how the token’s utility has progressed since the whitepaper is lacking. This is largely because the token’s function is still developing, and won’t take full form until the later stages of the Network are rolled out.
The token is currently used as a means of payment on the Marketplace and for individuals to earn DATA by contributing to Data Unions. Still to come are functionalities around token stake checking and incentive mechanisms enabling node rewards.
Proposed solution: A blog from Henri and the team on some of these plans as they take shape could address some of the uncertainty. Keep an eye out for an announcement on tokenomics in the coming weeks.
2. Project direction/partnerships info
“A little bit more of a plan to understand future partnerships and developments. Something that should be easy to understand for the Average Joe. I think it will reach more potential investors.” “More internal development communication should be public for Streamr to be a decentralized project, otherwise it’s a company and its followers.” “Improve transparency. I fully understand that ICO investors are not shareholders, but it’s often very hard to get a sense of what you’re working on and with who, and why. Things get announced, but little is known about your mission or business goals.” “Proper financial, personnel and visions report. Quarterly please. This is something that brings certainty to the project, as the community will know how things are going in the grand scheme.”
Giving granular updates on the project’s direction (beyond tech updates) or the status of partnerships, while desirable for the community, is not always possible or profitable for the project. This is due to NDAs, coordination between multiple external parties, shifting priorities, value considerations on timing and announcement strategies — plus many more case-by-case factors.
Proposed solution: Streamr will produce a yearly report outlining the achievements, challenges, goals ahead with a breakdown and comments from each project team, and a high level overview on finances. This would also add value for potential partners and less active followers to get an official insight into the project’s status.
3. Marketing
“Lack of awareness of the project. Recent community products [Data Unions] marketing is good, but it was about 1 to 1.5 years of nothing prior to that.” “There could be more articles just applying Streamr Core to interesting things, interacting with smart contracts etc. I feel we get one integration every 1.5/2 months, but sometimes simpler is better.” “Communicate the vision and the market you’re addressing in a more boastful way.” “More applications for making data something tangible that you show like a footprint to exemplify to no-coiners how much value the average person generates.”
Desire comes through for increased communication from the project, focused on how to apply the Streamr tech and attract a broader audience. The comms team face a continual (and interesting) challenge to strike the right balance between updating followers, attracting devs to build and use Streamr tools, communicating the project’s goals, and generating user awareness for products still in production.
Proposed solution: A comms shift towards adoption and attracting Data Union users outside the current technical and web3 sphere is on the horizon, which will address some of these suggestions.
Further examples of Core in action, perhaps with more accessible canvas templates as starting points, is another possibility in the future.

7. How would you describe Streamr to a stranger?


https://preview.redd.it/3qqpjj6y8aj41.png?width=3224&format=png&auto=webp&s=ce3d9f7157ac403cb5b73f29b2c9352a5bfe9427
It’s great to see so many of you on-message, which is encouraging from a marketing perspective, and it’s also great to understand which elements of the project you put forward independently. As we have also seen in earlier responses, there is a preference for the upcoming Data Unions feature, which was actually added to the Marketplace design after the Streamr project was founded.
Here are a few of our favourite responses:
“An open and permissionless network for the data economy, connecting producers to buyers, not owned by a centralized authority.” “A real-time P2P data network where each participant can control and manage data they produce. Data integrity, authenticity and security is ensured by the blockchain.” “Real-time data layenetwork and marketplace.” “A platform where you can sell and buy data in real time.” “A toolkit for constructing decentralized data streams which buyers and sellers trade in a marketplace.”

8. Where are you located?


https://preview.redd.it/citnndp09aj41.png?width=3224&format=png&auto=webp&s=d586e42d5086df6282f6b4796eb741db235a1127
The most active community members are based in Europe. Other social media analytics show a more balanced follower distribution.

Geographic sample of 5,000 Twitter followers from Followerwonk
9. What’s your professional background (student, developer, designer) and do you have a skill or area of expertise you would like to volunteer to support the project?

https://preview.redd.it/n7ak6wgg9aj41.png?width=3224&format=png&auto=webp&s=ba11d45823de976e0f86da806bbb2875bd9b357a
Developers take the lead by profession, which is understandable because many of the current tools and comms are aimed at those from a technical background. It was nice to see such a broad spectrum of career paths represented, drawn by the goal of a more open real-time data economy.
Thank you to those who offered to contribute their skills. We will be in touch should we require any assistance.
And thank you to all who took the time to complete the survey. Your feedback and support go a long way towards helping Streamr reach its goals.
If you’re not already a part of Streamr’s most popular social channel, what are you waiting for? Please join the community on Telegram to discuss the results, and keep an eye out across all of Streamr’s social media for updates on the proposed solutions and more.
See the original post on Medium
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Bincentive Market Backround & Trends

The rise of Bitcoin and other crypto assets has led to an evolution in the concept of financial investments as well as the process through which these investments are made. In the past, all investments were inherently tied to a physical entity and managed by large organizations. Digital currencies such as Bitcoin and Ethereum (ETH) are not tied to physical assets, and can be easily bought, traded, and sold directly by holders through many online exchange centers.

These advantages have led to a massive growth and resulted in more than 1,600 different digital currencies being publicly traded today2, with dozens more each week. While traditional securities such as stocks can be evaluated based upon the financial performance of the parent company, the metrics used to evaluate crypto assets are less established. To solve this problem, trading experts have created complex quantitative or intelligent trading strategies (from statistical model analysis, machine learning, to deep reinforcement learning) that can predict the currency price or arbitrage based upon massive data sets (Big Data). These professional traders hope to capitalize on the idea that numbers and raw data are superior to humans who rely on intuition and market investment experience.

Despite having a solution, the cryptocurrency environment still suffers from two systemic problems – complexity and trust in conducting business. These deficiencies create a disadvantageous situation for all parties involved in the crypto asset ecosystem: investors, trading experts, and exchange centers.

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INVESTORS
As it stands, the current crypto market framework lacks many rules, regulations, and best practices. It is heavily weighted in favor of traditional investment institutions that have resources and investment experience to navigate through this ambiguous crypto investment market. To be competitive, an investor has many hurdles to overcome, chief among them: market complexity, choosing an effective financial advisors, data security, and service reliability.

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Bincentive Website: https://www.bincentive.com/
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In this article, we set out to create a profitable Bitcoin trading agent from scratch, using deep reinforcement learning. We were able to accomplish the following: Created a Bitcoin trading environment from scratch using OpenAI’s gym. Built a visualization of that environment using Matplotlib. Trading Bitcoin with Reinforcement Learning. Introduction to Algorithmic Trading. Algorithmic trading has been around for decades and has, for the most part, enjoyed a fair amount of success in its varied forms. Traditionally, algorithmic trading involves selecting trading rules that are carefully designed, optimized, and tested by humans In this article we are going to create deep reinforcement learning agents that learn to make money trading Bitcoin. In this tutorial we will be using OpenAI’s gym and the PPO agent from the stable-baselines library, a fork of OpenAI’s baselines library.. The purpose of this series of articles is to experiment with state-of-the-art deep reinforcement learning technologies to see if we can We present a model for active trading based on reinforcement machine learning and apply this to five major cryptocurrencies in circulation. In relation to a buy-and-hold approach, we demonstrate how this model yields enhanced risk-adjusted returns and serves to reduce downside risk. These findings hold when accounting for actual transaction costs. Trading with Reinforcement Learning in Python Part II: Application Jun 4, 2019 In my last post we learned what gradient ascent is, and how we can use it to maximize a reward function.

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