CME’s Options on Bitcoin Futures Go Live After Getting

[uncensored-r/Bitcoin] When is CME and TD start trading?

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The original post can be found(in censored form) at this link:
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When is CME opening BTC futures trading? /r/Bitcoin

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Crypto

Why $11.5K Is the ‘Most Important’ Level for Bitcoin, Traders Explain
The price of #Bitcoin (BTC) is hovering at $11,300 and is nearing a pivotal technical level, which some traders are arguing makes $11,500 “the most important” level to confirm a new bull cycle for BTC.
If Bitcoin stays above $11,500 by Aug. 10, it would be the highest weekly close for #BTC price since mid-2019. The weekly candle in August 2019 closed slightly above $11,500. In other words, a close above this level would print the best weekly candle since the 2017 bull run.
A closure above $11,500 would break Bitcoin market structure Meanwhile, traders are closely observing the upcoming weekly candle closure because many believe it could decide whether the bull market continues. Until BTC cleanly breaks out of $11,500, technically, there is strong overhead resistance. One pseudonymous trader said:
“11.5k is the most important level on Bitcoin.”
When the price of Bitcoin hit $12,000 on Aug. 2, some investors argued that BTC already broke its market structure. If so, BTC theoretically has room to surge to higher resistance levels at $14,000 and $17,000.
Sven Henrich, a trader at NorthmanTrader, believes Bitcoin could head toward $17,000. For the technical case for a prolonged rally to be intact, Henrich said BTC has to remain above $10,500.
As long as the price of Bitcoin stabilizes above $10,500, Henrich said a rally to $17,000 is possible, even if BTC then retraces. He said:
“Firstly note that a breakout is bullish if it can be successfully defended, meaning as long as $BTC can remain above the breakout trend line it has significant technical room higher… But note that inside the larger wedge consolidation a potentially much more bullish pattern has emerged, that of a potential inverse which would point to near 17,000.”
Variables for both bull and bear cases In the near-term, analysts point toward various macro factors that could boost the sentiment around Bitcoin. Most notably, the value of the United States dollar is depreciating.
Overall, trading volumes across various markets, including retail and institutional, are increasing. For example, the open interest of the CME Bitcoin futures market has just hit a record high. Despite mass liquidations on Aug. 2, BTC has remained relatively stable above the key technical support level at $10,500.
While more factors seemingly buoy the bull case for Bitcoin, there are two risks BTC faces in the short term. First, until $12,000 clearly breaks, the risk of overhead resistance remains. Second, several technical metrics, including funding rates and greed index (currently at 75% or “greed”), hint at an overheated rally.
However, it is uncertain whether positive on-chain metrics, such as the number of “HODLers” reaching an all-time high, can offset potential risks. For now, until BTC’s weekly candle closes above $11,500, the market remains cautiously optimistic as attention shifts to the U.S. dollar and stocks.
submitted by RalphAnderson_ to Bitcoin [link] [comments]

Price Discovery in Bitcoin exchange

About thirty days ago I shared a chart on Price Discovery in this sub. There was a lot of interest in it and I promised to explain in detail a Bitcoin price discovery algorithm.. I do so in this post.
*this text post is a slightly shorter version of what I wrote in my blog.

TL;DR

I applied price discovery algorithms to 5 Min OHLCV data from Bitmex and CME contracts and Bitstamp, Coinbase, HitBTC, Kraken, Poloniex, Binance, and OkEx BTCUSD/BTCUSDT markets from March 2016 to May 2020. Some exciting results I got was:

Introduction

Price discovery is the overall process of setting the price of an asset. Price discovery algorithms identify the leader exchanges whose traders define the price. Two approaches are most famous for use in Price Discovery. Gonzalo and Granger (1995) and Hasbrouck (1995). But they assume random walk, and a common efficient price. I do not feel comfortable assuming random walk and common efficient price in Bitcoin Markets. So I used this little know method by De Blasis (2019) for this analysis. This work assumes that "the fastest price to reflect new information releases a price signal to the other slower price series." I thought this was valid in our market. It uses Markov Chains to measure Price Discovery. Without going into the mathematical details the summary steps used was:
De Blasis (2019) names this number Price Leadership Share (PLS). High PLS indicates a large role in price discovery. As the sum of the numbers is 1, they can be looked at as a percentage contribution. I recommend reading the original paper if you are interested to know more about the mathematical detail.

Data

Andersen (2000) argues that 5 Minute window provides the best trade-off between getting enough data and avoiding noise. In one of the first work on Bitcoin's Price Discovery, Brandvold et al. 2015 had used 5M window. So I obtained 5M OHLCV data using the following sources:
Futures data are different from other data because multiple futures contract trades at the same time. I formed a single data from the multiple time series by selecting the nearest contract until it was three days from expiration. I used the next contract when the contract was three days from expiration. This approach was advocated by Booth et al ( 1999 )

Analysis

I can't embed the chart on reddit so open this https://warproxxx.github.io/static/price_discovery.html
In the figure above, each colored line shows the total influence the exchange had towards the discovery of Bitcoin Price on that day. Its axis is on the left. The black line shows a moving average of the bitcoin price at the close in Bitfinex for comparison. The chart was created by plotting the EMA of price and dominance with a smoothing factor of 0.1. This was done to eliminate the noise. Let's start looking from the beginning. We start with a slight Bitfinex dominance at the start. When the price starts going up, Bitfinex's influence does too. This was the time large Tether printing was attributed to the rise of price by many individuals. But Bitfinex's influence wanes down as the price starts rising (remember that the chart is an exponential moving average. Its a lagging indicator). Afterward, exchanges like Binance and Bitstamp increase their role, and there isn't any single leader in the run. So although Bitfinex may have been responsible for the initial pump trades on other exchanges were responsible for the later rally.
CME contracts were added to our analysis in February 2018. Initially, they don't have much influence. On a similar work Alexandar and Heck (2019) noted that initially CBOE contracts had more influence. CBOE later delisted Bitcoin futures so I couldn't get that data. Overall, Bitmex and CME contracts have been averaging around 50% of the role in price discovery. To make the dominance clear, look at this chart where I add Bitmex Futures and Perp contract's dominance figure to create a single dominance index. There bitmex leads 936 of the total 1334 days (Bitfinex leads 298 days and coinbase and binance get 64 and 6 days). That is a lot. One possible reason for this might be Bitmex's low trading fee. Bitmex has a very generous -0.025% maker fee and price discovery tend to occur primarily in the market with smaller trading costs (Booth et al, 1999). It may also be because our market is mature. In mature markets, futures lead the price discovery.
Exchange bitmex_futures bitfinex coinbase bitmex okex binance cme bitstamp okcoin kraken poloniex
Days Lead 571 501 102 88 34 12 8 7 6 4 1
 Table 1: Days Lead 
Out of 1334 days in the analysis, Bitmex futures leads the discovery in 571 days or nearly 43% of the duration. Bitfinex leads for 501 days. Bitfinex's high number is due to its extreme dominance in the early days.
Exchange binance huobi cme okcoin bitmex_futures okex hitbtc kraken poloniex bitstamp bitfinex coinbase bitmex
Correlation 0.809190 0.715667 0.648058 0.644432 0.577147 0.444821 0.032649 -0.187348 -0.365175 -0.564073 -0.665008 -0.695115 -0.752103
 Table 2: Correlation between the close price and Exchange's dominance index 
Binance, Huobi, CME, and OkCoin had the most significant correlation with the close price. Bitmex, Coinbase, Bitfinex, and Bitstamp's dominance were negatively correlated. This was very interesting. To know more, I captured a yearwise correlation.
index 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
0 bitfinex 0.028264 -0.519791 0.829700 -0.242631 0.626386
1 bitmex 0.090758 -0.752297 -0.654742 0.052242 -0.584956
2 bitmex_futures -0.011323 -0.149281 -0.458857 0.660135 0.095305
3 bitstamp 0.316291 -0.373688 0.600240 -0.255408 -0.407608
4 coinbase -0.505492 -0.128336 -0.351794 -0.410874 -0.262036
5 hitbtc 0.024425 0.486229 0.104912 -0.200203 0.308862
6 kraken 0.275797 0.422656 0.294762 -0.064594 -0.192290
7 poloniex 0.177616 -0.087090 0.230987 -0.135046 -0.154726
8 binance NaN 0.865295 0.706725 -0.484130 0.265086
9 okcoin NaN 0.797682 0.463455 -0.010186 -0.160217
10 huobi NaN 0.748489 0.351514 -0.298418 0.434164
11 cme NaN NaN -0.616407 0.694494 -0.012962
12 okex NaN NaN -0.618888 -0.399567 0.432474
Table 3: Yearwise Correlation between the close price and Exchange's dominance index
Price movement is pretty complicated. If one factor, like a dominant exchange, could explain it, everyone would be making money trading. With this disclaimer out of the way, let us try to make some conclusions. This year Bitfinex, Huobi, and OkEx, Tether based exchanges, discovery power have shown a high correlation with the close price. This means that when the traders there become successful, price rises. When the traders there are failing, Bitmex traders dominate and then the price is falling. I found this interesting as I have been seeing the OkEx whale who has been preceding price rises in this sub. I leave the interpretation of other past years to the reader.

Limitations

My analysis does not include market data for other derivative exchanges like Huobi, OkEx, Binance, and Deribit. So, all future market's influence may be going to Bitmex. I did not add their data because they started having an impact recently. A more fair assessment may be to conclude this as the new power of derivative markets instead of attributing it as the power of Bitmex. But Bitmex has dominated futures volume most of the time (until recently). And they brought the concept of perpetual swaps.

Conclusion

There is a lot in this data. If you are making a trading algo think there is some edge here. Someday I will backtest some trading logic based on this data. Then I will have more info and might write more. But, this analysis was enough for to shift my focus from a Bitfinex based trading algorithm to a Bitmex based one. It has been giving me good results.
If you have any good ideas that you want me to write about or discuss further please comment. If there is enough interest in this measurement, I can setup a live interface that provides the live value.
submitted by warproxxx to BitcoinMarkets [link] [comments]

XRP Isn’t A Security, Declares Former CFTC Chairman

XRP Isn’t A Security, Declares Former CFTC Chairman
https://preview.redd.it/8yehv8lzsce51.jpg?width=960&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=69f0a6eb4973a5a9974e42d15709434719a26a81
When Chris Giancarlo was the chairman of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission he became a rock-star of sorts in certain corners of the cryptocurrency community, helping establish criteria that eventually led to bitcoin and ethereum being declared commodities, more like coffee or sugar than stock in a company. The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission largely followed suit, eventually also declaring that bitcoin and ether, the cryptocurrency powering the ethereum blockchain weren’t securities.
Now chairman emeritus Giancarlo, who was deemed “Crypto Dad” following an impassioned speech he gave to Congress where he credited bitcoin for finally getting his kids interested in finance, is at it again, having co-written a detailed argument published this morning in the International Financial Law Review for why XRP, the cryptocurrency formally known as “ripples,” was also not a security. The only problem is he’s no longer a regulator. In fact, his employer is on the payroll of Ripple, the largest single owner of XRP, whose co-founders actually created the cryptocurrency.
The bombshell paper, titled, “Cryptocurrencies and U.S. Securities Laws: Beyond Bitcoin and Ether,” co-authored by commodities lawyer Conrad Bahlke of New York law firm Willkie Farr & Gallagher LLP, methodically reviews the criteria of the Howey Test, established by the SEC in 1946 to determine whether something is a security, and point-by-point argues that XRP does not qualify. Rather, the paper argues, like its name would indicate, cryptocurrency is a currency of perhaps more interest to the Federal Reserve and central banks than securities regulators.
What’s at stake here to the cryptocurrency world cannot be overestimated. XRP is now the fourth largest cryptocurrency by market cap, with $5.9 billion worth of the asset in circulation according to cryptocurrency data site Messari. While Ripple was valued at $10 billion according to its most recent round of funding, the company continues to fund itself in part by selling its deep war chest of 55.6 billion XRP, coincidentally valued at the same amount as the company itself.
Not only could an eventual decision by the SEC to classify—or not classify—XRP as a security impact the untold individual owners of the cryptocurrency, but other clients using Ripple services that don’t rely on the cryptocurrency, including American Express, Santander, and SBI Holdings could stand to be impacted positively or negatively depending on the decision. After all if XRP were to be rescinded it would be a huge cost to their software provider. If Giancarlo is right though, Ripple could end up being one of the most valuable startups in fintech.
“Ultimately, under a fair application of the Howey test and the SEC’s presently expanding analysis, XRP should not be regulated as a security, but instead considered a currency or a medium of exchange,” Giancarlo and Bahlke argue in the paper. “The increased adoption of XRP as a medium of exchange and a form of payment in recent years, both by consumers and in the business-to-business setting, further underscores the utility of XRP as a bona fide fiat substitute.”
Giancarlo was nominated to be a commissioner of the CFTC by then-President Barack Obama in 2013. In 2015, he helped lead the thinking behind the CFTC’s decision that bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies were commodities, paving the way for the SEC’s related comments that neither bitcoin nor ethereum are securities. Then, at the height of the 2017 cryptocurrency bubble President Trump nominated him to be Chairman of the CFTC, where he oversaw the creation of a number of bitcoin futures projects, including at CME Group and the short-lived effort at Cboe.
While many blame the creation of bitcoin futures for popping the 2017 price bubble, which almost hit $20,000 before halving today, others have seen the works as a fundamental process of maturity, helping pave the way for more sophisticated crypto-enabled financial offerings. Giancarlo’s last day in office at the CFTC was in 2019, after which he promptly got involved helping envision the future of assets issued on a blockchain. In November he joined as an advisor to American Financial Exchange, using ethereum to create a Libor alternative. The following January he co-founded the Digital Dollar Project leading the push to use blockchain at the Federal Reserve and now it would seem he’s hoping to influence the classification of XRP as he did for bitcoin and ethereum, but from the other side of regulation.
Importantly however, a footnote in the report discloses that not only is Giancarlo and Bahlke’s firm, Willkie Farr & Gallagher LLP counsel to Ripple Labs, but they “relied on certain factual information provided by Ripple in the preparation of this article.” While it’s impossible to parse what information came from the co-authors and what came from Ripple, the resulting legal argument is fascinating, even if it does leave room for doubt.
The Howey test Giancarlo uses to bolster his arguments is a three-pronged definition used by the SEC, none of which he says apply to XRP. The first prong, is that an investment contract should be implied or explicitly stated between the issuer of the asset, in this case XRP and the owner, in which money exchanges hands. “The mere fact that an individual holds XRP does not create any relationship, rights or privileges with respect to Ripple any more than owning Ether would create a contract with the Ethereum Foundation, the organization that oversees the Ethereum architecture,” he writes.
This does however overlook the fact that OpenCoin, credited on Ripple’s own site in 2013 for creating XRP (then tellingly described as “ripples”), was run by many of the same people that founded Ripple. The original creators of XRP then donated the vast majority of the assets to Ripple, which they also ran, creating a sense of distance, tacit though it may be. The actual data around the creation of XRP was also muddled by a glitch in the code that means unlike bitcoin and ethereum the crucial genesis data is no longer attached to the rest of the ledger. The rebranding of “ripples” as XRP further extended the sense of distance between XRP and Ripple, followed by an aggressive campaign to get media to stop describing the cryptocurrency as “Ripple’s XRP.”
With so much distance between the company that actually created XRP and the company that now owns more than half of it, one would be forgiven for wondering, if there was an implied contract between OpenCoin and XRP owners, does the donation from one group of people at one company to a very similar group of people at another company sever that responsibility? In spite of the sense of distance created by Ripple between itself and the cryptocurrency its co-founders created, a number of active lawsuits alleging securities violations have been filed. In all fairness though, Giancarlo appears to recognize this prong may not be Ripple’s strongest defense and concludes the section, hedging: “Even if XRP were to satisfy one or two of the “prongs” of the Howey test, it does not satisfy all three factors such that XRP is an investment contract subject to regulation as a security.”
The second prong of the Howey test stipulates that there can be no “common enterprise” between shareholders or a shareholder and the company. While refuting both relationships, Giancarlo curiously goes onto to write that “given the juxtaposition between XRP’s intended use as a liquidity tool, its more general use to transfer value and its potential as a speculative asset, XRP holders who utilize the coins for different purposes have divergent interests with respect to XRP.”
Ironically, there has always been a widely held belief that owning a cryptocurrency would unify interests around a single goal: to co-create the infrastructure that lets the cryptocurrency exist and ensure it was vibrant and diverse. Meanwhile, XRP, in spite of its aggressive supporters on social media, is one of the least diverse ecosystems, with the vast majority of serious development being done within Ripple. If XRP owners aren’t expecting an increase in value from the work being done by Ripple, they certainly aren’t nearly as involved in helping build that future as are owners of bitcoin and ethereum.
In a related issue, the third prong of the Howey test stipulates that “no reasonable expectation of profit should be derived from the efforts of Ripple,” according to the paper. Supporting this position, Giancarlo writes: “Though Ripple maintains a sizable stake of the XRP supply and certainly has a pecuniary interest in the value of its holdings, it is not enough to suggest that a mutual interest in the value of an asset gives rise to an expectation of profits as contemplated by Howey.” Again, this strains credulity.
According to its own site, Ripple currently has access to 6.4% of all the XRP ever created. But that doesn’t count the 49.2% of the total XRP Ripple owns, but is locked in a series of escrow accounts that become periodically available to Ripple and Ripple alone. Adding those two percentages together leaves a float of only about 44% of XRP that has been distributed for public ownership. For some comparison, Facebook went public the same year XRP was created and has a 99% float, according to FactSet data, meaning almost all of its stock is in the hands of traders.While Ripple does also have more traditional stock, this distribution shows that Ripple might not be as distributed as it claims.
While it’s perhaps no surprise that Giancarlo would come out on the side of his own client, there’s also plenty of other reasons to believe his argument may in fact hold water. In February 2018, the notoriously compliant exchange Coinbase added support for XRP, something it would unlikely do if it were concerned it might accidentally be selling an unlicensed security. Perhaps most tellingly though, Ripple has also been granted a difficult-to-obtain BitLicense from the New York Department of Financial Services, giving it the blessing of a respected regulator. However, while the license was granted after then-superintendent Benjamin Lawsky stepped down from the regulator, it's perhaps no coincidence that a year later he joined Ripple on its board of directors and is now active in the cryptocurrency space. Perhaps a similar fate is in store for Giancarlo.
Editor’s note: This article has been updated to clarify that Ripple Labs is a client of Giancarlo’s law firm.
submitted by wazzocklegless to u/wazzocklegless [link] [comments]

Do Perpetual Options Exist?

Perpetual futures contracts are gaining a lot of interest from not only cryptocurrency enthusiasts but also traders and members of traditional finance. Since 2017 when perpetual futures contracts were first launched, the derivatives market has evolved introducing options, ETFs and index trading based on cryptocurrencies. We have also seen the big traditional finance players like CME, Cboe and ICE taking part in this innovative and attractive world of cryptocurrency derivatives trading.
With the growing popularity of cryptocurrency derivatives products, especially perpetual futures contracts together with options trending as well, some traders may wonder what Perpetual Options may look like.
As always, let's begin by understanding what options are.

WHAT ARE OPTIONS?

Options are financial derivatives instruments where the value comes from the underlying assets such as stocks or cryptocurrencies. The buyer of the option contract is offered the choice to buy or sell the underlying asset at a pre-specified price and date. In contrast to futures, options contract holders give the right but not the obligation to buy or sell the underlying asset at the agreed price and date.
Options are split into two types.
One of the main differences between futures and options is that to buy the option, traders must pay for the premium. In the case of options, the rights are measured and priced as a premium. Something to note is that the premium always varies and this premium is what makes the options trading market.
Another thing to keep in mind is that options have a strike price which is the price set at which a derivative contract can be bought or sold at the exercise date. For example, a call option for 1 BTC with a 30 day expiry and strike price of $10,000 means the buyer of this call option has the right to purchase 1 BTC at $10,000 in 30 days time. Furthermore, there are variations in options on when you can exercise this contract. The two main types are the American and European options.

DO PERPETUAL OPTIONS REALLY EXIST?

Well.. There can be two sides to this question. Theoretically, it definitely could exist and many academics in the financial space are continuing research and studies on this topic. On a practical note, no registered options exchanges whether traditional or crypto have perpetual options listed. If this market place does exist, it would be likely to occur in the OTC(Over-The-Counter) market.
The main reason this exotic financial instrument faces difficulty is the pricing of the premium. American options are often priced with the binomial or trinomial tree model where it predicts its possible outcomes depending on the different exercise prices. All these are assumed to have some sort of exercise price.
However, for perpetual options, as it comes from the word "perpetual", it may never be exercised, making it difficult to have a good pricing model that can take into consideration the different types of predictions. In previous research, the martingale models were often used however would be very difficult to bring to the practical options trading, especially bitcoin options.
To help your understanding, I will set an example. Let's say the current BTC price is US$10,000 and you decide to buy a perpetual call option for US$1,000 with exercise price of $10,000. If the price of bitcoin does not go over the break even price of US$11,000 for the next 10 years or even 100 years, there is no reason to exercise this right. Let's say after 200 years the bitcoin price finally reached US$11,500, then this means the seller of the call option must have the underlying asset readily available for however long it may be until the exercise date of this contract. It is unrealistic to measure this in a single premium, thus making it difficult to compose a market place for this trade.
This doesn't mean it is impossible for perpetual bitcoin options to be released. An innovative financial instrument that is tweaked from the theoretical perpetual options model may be created. While options are mostly used to hedge against the price rise or fall, the options market is currently not as liquid as the perpetual futures markets.
submitted by MyCoinStory to investing [link] [comments]

Do Perpetual Options Exist?

Perpetual futures contracts are gaining a lot of interest from not only cryptocurrency enthusiasts but also traders and members of traditional finance. Since 2017 when perpetual futures contracts were first launched, the derivatives market has evolved introducing options, ETFs and index trading based on cryptocurrencies. We have also seen the big traditional finance players like CME, Cboe and ICE taking part in this innovative and attractive world of cryptocurrency derivatives trading.
With the growing popularity of cryptocurrency derivatives products, especially perpetual futures contracts together with options trending as well, some traders may wonder what Perpetual Options may look like.
As always, let's begin by understanding what options are.

WHAT ARE OPTIONS?

Options are financial derivatives instruments where the value comes from the underlying assets such as stocks or cryptocurrencies. The buyer of the option contract is offered the choice to buy or sell the underlying asset at a pre-specified price and date. In contrast to futures, options contract holders give the right but not the obligation to buy or sell the underlying asset at the agreed price and date.
Options are split into two types.
One of the main differences between futures and options is that to buy the option, traders must pay for the premium. In the case of options, the rights are measured and priced as a premium. Something to note is that the premium always varies and this premium is what makes the options trading market.
Another thing to keep in mind is that options have a strike price which is the price set at which a derivative contract can be bought or sold at the exercise date. For example, a call option for 1 BTC with a 30 day expiry and strike price of $10,000 means the buyer of this call option has the right to purchase 1 BTC at $10,000 in 30 days time. Furthermore, there are variations in options on when you can exercise this contract. The two main types are the American and European options.

DO PERPETUAL OPTIONS REALLY EXIST?

Well.. There can be two sides to this question. Theoretically, it definitely could exist and many academics in the financial space are continuing research and studies on this topic. On a practical note, no registered options exchanges whether traditional or crypto have perpetual options listed. If this market place does exist, it would be likely to occur in the OTC(Over-The-Counter) market.
The main reason this exotic financial instrument faces difficulty is the pricing of the premium. American options are often priced with the binomial or trinomial tree model where it predicts its possible outcomes depending on the different exercise prices. All these are assumed to have some sort of exercise price.
However, for perpetual options, as it comes from the word "perpetual", it may never be exercised, making it difficult to have a good pricing model that can take into consideration the different types of predictions. In previous research, the martingale models were often used however would be very difficult to bring to the practical options trading, especially bitcoin options.
To help your understanding, I will set an example. Let's say the current BTC price is US$10,000 and you decide to buy a perpetual call option for US$1,000 with exercise price of $10,000. If the price of bitcoin does not go over the break even price of US$11,000 for the next 10 years or even 100 years, there is no reason to exercise this right. Let's say after 200 years the bitcoin price finally reached US$11,500, then this means the seller of the call option must have the underlying asset readily available for however long it may be until the exercise date of this contract. It is unrealistic to measure this in a single premium, thus making it difficult to compose a market place for this trade.
This doesn't mean it is impossible for perpetual bitcoin options to be released. An innovative financial instrument that is tweaked from the theoretical perpetual options model may be created. While options are mostly used to hedge against the price rise or fall, the options market is currently not as liquid as the perpetual futures markets.
submitted by MyCoinStory to CryptoCurrencyTrading [link] [comments]

Do Perpetual Options Exist?

Perpetual futures contracts are gaining a lot of interest from not only cryptocurrency enthusiasts but also traders and members of traditional finance. Since 2017 when perpetual futures contracts were first launched, the derivatives market has evolved introducing options, ETFs and index trading based on cryptocurrencies. We have also seen the big traditional finance players like CME, Cboe and ICE taking part in this innovative and attractive world of cryptocurrency derivatives trading.
With the growing popularity of cryptocurrency derivatives products, especially perpetual futures contracts together with options trending as well, some traders may wonder what Perpetual Options may look like.
As always, let's begin by understanding what options are.

WHAT ARE OPTIONS?

Options are financial derivatives instruments where the value comes from the underlying assets such as stocks or cryptocurrencies. The buyer of the option contract is offered the choice to buy or sell the underlying asset at a pre-specified price and date. In contrast to futures, options contract holders give the right but not the obligation to buy or sell the underlying asset at the agreed price and date.
Options are split into two types.
One of the main differences between futures and options is that to buy the option, traders must pay for the premium. In the case of options, the rights are measured and priced as a premium. Something to note is that the premium always varies and this premium is what makes the options trading market.
Another thing to keep in mind is that options have a strike price which is the price set at which a derivative contract can be bought or sold at the exercise date. For example, a call option for 1 BTC with a 30 day expiry and strike price of $10,000 means the buyer of this call option has the right to purchase 1 BTC at $10,000 in 30 days time. Furthermore, there are variations in options on when you can exercise this contract. The two main types are the American and European options.

DO PERPETUAL OPTIONS REALLY EXIST?

Well.. There can be two sides to this question. Theoretically, it definitely could exist and many academics in the financial space are continuing research and studies on this topic. On a practical note, no registered options exchanges whether traditional or crypto have perpetual options listed. If this market place does exist, it would be likely to occur in the OTC(Over-The-Counter) market.
The main reason this exotic financial instrument faces difficulty is the pricing of the premium. American options are often priced with the binomial or trinomial tree model where it predicts its possible outcomes depending on the different exercise prices. All these are assumed to have some sort of exercise price.
However, for perpetual options, as it comes from the word "perpetual", it may never be exercised, making it difficult to have a good pricing model that can take into consideration the different types of predictions. In previous research, the martingale models were often used however would be very difficult to bring to the practical options trading, especially bitcoin options.
To help your understanding, I will set an example. Let's say the current BTC price is US$10,000 and you decide to buy a perpetual call option for US$1,000 with exercise price of $10,000. If the price of bitcoin does not go over the break even price of US$11,000 for the next 10 years or even 100 years, there is no reason to exercise this right. Let's say after 200 years the bitcoin price finally reached US$11,500, then this means the seller of the call option must have the underlying asset readily available for however long it may be until the exercise date of this contract. It is unrealistic to measure this in a single premium, thus making it difficult to compose a market place for this trade.
This doesn't mean it is impossible for perpetual bitcoin options to be released. An innovative financial instrument that is tweaked from the theoretical perpetual options model may be created. While options are mostly used to hedge against the price rise or fall, the options market is currently not as liquid as the perpetual futures markets.
On MyCoinStory.com, it is possible to hedge even with perpetual futures contracts as the platform provides up to 3 positions that can be held at once. For more info, go to this link.
Trade on MCS!

Traders always come first on MCS.
#Be_a_Trader | MCS


MCS Website: https://mycoinstory.com/ MCS Official Twitter: https://twitter.com/mycoinstory_mcs MCS Official Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/MyCoinStory.official MCS Telegram Chat: https://t.me/mycoinstory_EN MCS Official Blog : https://blog.mycoinstory.com
submitted by MyCoinStory to MyCoinStory [link] [comments]

LOEx Market Research Report on May 30: If 9200 points is not broken, hold currency to rise and follow the trend

LOEx Market Research Report on May 30: If 9200 points is not broken, hold currency to rise and follow the trend
[Today's Hot Tips]
1. [Early Bitcoin Developer: Satoshi Nakamoto invented the GPU mining code to defend the Bitcoin network]
According to Cointelegraph, according to early Bitcoin developers, Satoshi Nakamoto prepared several versions of GPU mining code to protect Bitcoin from 51% attacks. Early Bitcoin developers who worked with Bitcoin founders in 2010 stated that in order to defend the Bitcoin network, Satoshi Nakamoto had invented the Bitcoin GPU mining technology in advance. Laszlo Hanyecz is famous for making the first Bitcoin transaction in the real world, and he is also praised for inventing Bitcoin GPU mining. However, in an interview, he said that Satoshi not only invented the algorithm before him, but also had several versions of the algorithm.
2. [The number of transactions on the BTC chain increased by 85.96% compared with yesterday]
As of May 29, the number of active BTC addresses was 767,900, an increase of 60.13% from yesterday; the number of transactions on the chain was 280,800, an increase of 85.96% from yesterday; There are 597 large-value transfers on the BTC chain with more than 100 transactions, an increase of 9.94% compared with yesterday. The number of active ETH addresses was 501,700, an increase of 61.73% from yesterday. The World Research Institute believes that there is a positive correlation between the active transactions on the chain and the currency price.
3. [Digital dollar released white paper]
The "Digital Dollar Project" released a white paper on May 28 local time in the United States. As mentioned in the white paper, "digital dollar" is a form of US dollar token that will coexist with existing fiat currencies and commercial bank funds, reflecting the many attributes of tangible currencies. Digital dollars balance personal privacy with the necessary regulatory compliance.
4. [21: 00-9: 00 Keywords: digital dollar project, Amazon patent, French central bank, stock]
  1. The June contract of CME Bitcoin futures closed down 0.94%.
  2. The stock market has outperformed Bitcoin in the past 12 months.
  3. The Digital Dollar Project released a white paper aimed at laying the foundation for the US CBDC.
  4. The US Patent and Trademark Office has approved Amazon's DLT system patent application.
  5. Bank of France spokesperson: An “internal private blockchain” has been established to test the digital euro.
  6. The International Monetary Fund reiterated its opposition to the digital currency of the Marshall Islands.
  7. Governor of the Brazilian Central Bank: The final step will be digital currency.
  8. The Russian crypto community protested against the draft bill that completely bans crypto transactions.
  9. Novi spokesman: Calibra was originally named similarly to Libra. The name was changed to avoid confusion.
[Today's market analysis]
Bitcoin (BTC)In the early hours of this morning, BTC continued to oscillate within a narrow range around 9400 USDT, and then rose slightly. At present, BTC is generally adjusted within a narrow range around 9450 USDT. Some mainstream currencies have rebounded slightly in the early morning after a turbulent downward movement, and they have started to fall again in a short time. BTC is currently reported at 9376.1 USDT at the LOEx Global, a decline of 0.25% in 24h.
https://preview.redd.it/tmhrrp33gu151.png?width=554&format=png&auto=webp&s=d807d18371d39d8a10b0fdd3754cc08bd704a55f
During the daytime yesterday, Bitcoin attacked more than 9,600 points and was blocked to fall back to 9,400 points. From the first wave of BTC to the top, the callback of 8400 points mentioned in the article that the possibility of BTC can be increased to 10,000 points. At that time, when the position was opened to 9600 points, there could be more than 1200 points of income, and the income was considerable. However, this wave is characterized by the fact that the amount of energy has not kept up, and a process of replenishment is required. As long as the callback does not break 9200, it is still a long trend.
Everyone can hold the currency and wait for the rise, have the opportunity to hit 10,000 points again, and follow the trend
Operation suggestions:
Support level: the first support level is 9200 points, the second support level is 9000 integers;
Resistance level: the first resistance level is 9500 points, the second resistance level is 9800 points.
LOEx is registered in Seychelles. It is a global one-stop digital asset service platform with business distribution nodes in 20 regions around the world. It has been exempted from Seychelles and Singapore Monetary Authority (MAS) digital currency trading services. Provide services and secure encrypted digital currency trading environment for 1 million community members in 24 hours.
submitted by LOEXCHANGE to u/LOEXCHANGE [link] [comments]

How can you be market neutral in high frequency bitcoin trading?

I read this interesting blog where the author claimed to have built a market neutral trading algo.
I’m assuming that means that when the market went down, the algo shorted bitcoin (maybe through futures on the CME ).
What I don’t understand, is how you can stay market neutral on such short timescales of seconds and minutes, given bitcoin futures span months.
Are there other ways to short sell bitcoin on shorter time scales - How else can you be market neutral?
submitted by ktattan to algotrading [link] [comments]

Do Perpetual Options Exist?

Perpetual futures contracts are gaining a lot of interest from not only cryptocurrency enthusiasts but also traders and members of traditional finance. Since 2017 when perpetual futures contracts were first launched, the derivatives market has evolved introducing options, ETFs and index trading based on cryptocurrencies. We have also seen the big traditional finance players like CME, Cboe and ICE taking part in this innovative and attractive world of cryptocurrency derivatives trading.
With the growing popularity of cryptocurrency derivatives products, especially perpetual futures contracts together with options trending as well, some traders may wonder what Perpetual Options may look like.
As always, let's begin by understanding what options are.

WHAT ARE OPTIONS?

Options are financial derivatives instruments where the value comes from the underlying assets such as stocks or cryptocurrencies. The buyer of the option contract is offered the choice to buy or sell the underlying asset at a pre-specified price and date. In contrast to futures, options contract holders give the right but not the obligation to buy or sell the underlying asset at the agreed price and date.
Options are split into two types.
One of the main differences between futures and options is that to buy the option, traders must pay for the premium. In the case of options, the rights are measured and priced as a premium. Something to note is that the premium always varies and this premium is what makes the options trading market.
Another thing to keep in mind is that options have a strike price which is the price set at which a derivative contract can be bought or sold at the exercise date. For example, a call option for 1 BTC with a 30 day expiry and strike price of $10,000 means the buyer of this call option has the right to purchase 1 BTC at $10,000 in 30 days time. Furthermore, there are variations in options on when you can exercise this contract. The two main types are the American and European options.

DO PERPETUAL OPTIONS REALLY EXIST?

Well.. There can be two sides to this question. Theoretically, it definitely could exist and many academics in the financial space are continuing research and studies on this topic. On a practical note, no registered options exchanges whether traditional or crypto have perpetual options listed. If this market place does exist, it would be likely to occur in the OTC(Over-The-Counter) market.
The main reason this exotic financial instrument faces difficulty is the pricing of the premium. American options are often priced with the binomial or trinomial tree model where it predicts its possible outcomes depending on the different exercise prices. All these are assumed to have some sort of exercise price.
However, for perpetual options, as it comes from the word "perpetual", it may never be exercised, making it difficult to have a good pricing model that can take into consideration the different types of predictions. In previous research, the martingale models were often used however would be very difficult to bring to the practical options trading, especially bitcoin options.
To help your understanding, I will set an example. Let's say the current BTC price is US$10,000 and you decide to buy a perpetual call option for US$1,000 with exercise price of $10,000. If the price of bitcoin does not go over the break even price of US$11,000 for the next 10 years or even 100 years, there is no reason to exercise this right. Let's say after 200 years the bitcoin price finally reached US$11,500, then this means the seller of the call option must have the underlying asset readily available for however long it may be until the exercise date of this contract. It is unrealistic to measure this in a single premium, thus making it difficult to compose a market place for this trade.
This doesn't mean it is impossible for perpetual bitcoin options to be released. An innovative financial instrument that is tweaked from the theoretical perpetual options model may be created. While options are mostly used to hedge against the price rise or fall, the options market is currently not as liquid as the perpetual futures markets.
submitted by MyCoinStory to DeribitExchange [link] [comments]

9 Rules of Crypto Trading That Helped One Trader Go from $1k to $46k in Less Than a Year

No, the successful trader is not me. I’ve gotten lucky a few times and I’m still refining and trying out strategies; on the other hand, I’m part of communities of people who trade on a daily basis to grow their portfolios, and while some of the results can be attributed to luck, a majority of it is based on fundamentals, good habits, and experience.
The Result of Good Habits
Miles is the co-founder of Pure Investments. In May 2017, he started off by playing with $1,000, which he accumulated through saving 10% of his paychecks for a while. Today, he is at $46,000; i.e., he grew his portfolio by 46x in less than a year. Similarly, after starting Pure Investments back in September 2017, Miles got one of his first community members, who goes by the pseudonym SP on the Discord channel. When SP started, he put in $40,000. By January 2018, he had over $1 million (today it’s ~$800k due to the recent Bitcoin crash). While markets like cryptocurrency are extremely volatile and all investors are subject to its price fluctuation including Miles, SP, myself, and you, good habits will help mitigate the losses and maximize profits. Nine Rules of Crypto Trading
Please note that none of this is investment advice. Invest at your own risk!
  1. Only invest what you can lose. During the recent crash in January 2018, hobby-investors got burned. Reports of frustration and losses came at the cost of broken monitors, smashed laptops, and heavy monetary losses. While the rules are in more particular order of importance, it’s safe to assume that this is the most important rule, the rule to rule the rules. As soon as your money is converted into cryptocurrency, consider it lost forever. There is absolutely no guarantee you can get it back. Losses don’t simply come from dips in the market; extraordinary factors such as hacks, bugs, and government regulation can mean you’ll never see any of your money again. If you are investing money you can’t afford to lose, you need to take a step back and re-evaluate your current financial situation, because what you’re about to do is an act of desperation. This includes: using credit cards, taking out mortgages, applying for loans, or selling everything and traveling the world (as glamorous as that sounds).
  2. Always pay attention to Bitcoin. Most altcoins (every cryptocurrency except Bitcoin) are pegged more closely to Bitcoin than Asian currencies were to the USD during the Asian Financial Crisis. If Bitcoin price pump drastically, altcoins price can go down as people try to exit altcoins to ride the BTC profits; inversely, if Bitcoin prices dump drastically, altcoin prices can go down, too, as people exit altcoins to exchange back into fiat. The best times for altcoin growth appear when Bitcoin shows organic growth or decline, or remains stagnant in price.
  3. Never put all your eggs in one basket. Diversify. While the potential to earn more is increased with the amount of money you invest into a coin, the potential to lose more is also magnified. Another way to think about it is to look at the cryptocurrency market as a whole; if you believe that this is just the beginning, then more than likely the entire market cap of cryptocurrencies will increase. What are the chances that this market cap increase will be entirely driven by one coin vs. being driven by many coins? The best way to safely capture the overall growth of cryptocurrency is to diversify and reap the benefits of growth from multiple coins. Also, fun fact — Between January 2016 and January 2018, Corgicoin has increased by 60,000x, and Verge has increased by 13,000x. During the same period, Bitcoin has increased by 34x. While you would have gotten impressive gains from Bitcoin, expanding into other coins could have landed you potentially larger ones.
  4. Don’t be greedy. No one ever lost money taking a profit. As a coin begins to grow, the greed inside us grows along with it. If a coin increases by 30%, why not consider taking profit? Even if goals are set to 40% or 50%, you should at least pull out some of the profit on the way up in case a coin doesn’t reach the goal. If you wait too long or try to get out at a higher point, you risk losing profit you already earned or even turning that profit into a loss. Get into the habit of taking profits and scouting for re-entry if you want to continue reaping potential profits.
  5. Don’t invest blindy. There are people in this world who would sell a blind person a pair of glasses if they could make money. Those same people play in the cryptocurrency markets and use every opportunity to exploit less-informed investors. They’ll tell you what to buy or claim certain coins will moon, just to increase the prices so they can exit. Due to the highly speculative nature of the cryptocurrency markets today, a good investor will always do his or her own research in order to take full responsibility for the potential investment outcome. Information coming from even the best investor is, at best, great information, but never a promise, so you can still get burned.
  6. Don’t FOMO. This is a spot that people most frequently lose money on. A dash of manipulation, two tablespoons of media hype, a cup of CME and CBOE announcements, and a generous handful of FOMO drove Bitcoin prices from $10,000 to $20,000 in December. Since that time, Bitcoin fell to a low of $9,000 and is currently sitting at around $11,000. It’s easy to look back and say, “if only I waited one month, then I could’ve bought at $9,000 instead of waiting for Bitcoin to hit $20,000 again for me to break even.” But the reality is, the combination of 1) being greedy, 2) investing blindly, and 3) FOMO were likely large contributors to the purchase at an all-time-high. Even in the crazy world of cryptocurrency, if a coin pumps that quickly, it will correct — it’s a matter of time. Speculative pumps are almost always followed by dips. While trying to jump onto a train going full speed sounds like something straight out of a James Bond movie, I’m sure most of us can agree we would probably save some limbs if we just waited for it at the next stop.
  7. Categorize your investments and look at the long picture. In the process of your research, you’ll eventually realize you’re coming across a few different categories of coins. For some of them, you believe they have good teams, great vision, amazing publicity and a track record for successful execution. Great! Put these into medium or long-term holds and let them marinate into a delicious tenderloin. When the price dips, don’t even consider panic selling because anything in your medium or long-term portfolio should remain untouched for a set amount of time. BNB is a good example of a coin Miles considers a long hold. Recently, it dipped 20% for a while, and within our community, we witnessed some sell-offs to preserve investments. A week later, it jumped up almost 3x for a period of time.
  8. Always learn from your mistakes. Never accept a total loss. Always evaluate the situation and try to figure out why it happened. Take that experience as an asset for your next move, which will be better because you are know more now than you knew before. We all start off as amateurs, and we have all lost money throughout out trading experience. In his first month of trading, Miles went from $1,000 to $300. I’ve lost a lot by selling at losses inspired by fear. No one is perfect, no one wins every single trade. Don’t let the losses discourage you, because the reality is they’re making you better trader if you choose to learn from them.
  9. If you are doing any active trading, set stop losses. For any coins not in your medium or long-term holds, always set stop losses. This is important for several reasons — the most obvious is mitigating your losses. But more importantly, you force yourself to decide on a point of acceptable loss, and because you now have a reference point, you are able to measure your effectiveness to keep or adjust for future trades. Sometimes, during a market dip, altcoins can plummet, and stop losses can lead to profitability by automatically selling for fiat that you can use to re-enter at lower prices.
  10. 10 Bonus — always check the ticker symbol. Ticker symbols are not universal, and may vary from exchange to exchange in rare cases. Those cases, though, can come back to bite you. For example, Bitcoin Cash trades on some exchanges as BCH, while it trades on others as BCC. BCC is also the ticker symbol for BitConnect, which was recently outted as a Ponzi Scheme. If you bought BCC under the impression was Bitcoin Cash, you would’ve lost a lot of money.

You Don’t Have to Go At It Alone While these rules are by no means the only lessons you need, they’re definitely a great starting point. Sometimes, though, things are easier said than done, such as watching your portfolio value plummet and still having the iron willpower of resisting the sell button. One of the best solutions I’ve found to this was to join a community of like-minded cryptocurrency investors. Educated and smart crypto-traders, as well as the community members, will all be there to support your efforts and will be holding with you in the rough times.
On top of that, the cryptocurrency market travels at lightspeed compared to other markets. New coins enter the market on a daily basis (in 2016, there were about 550 different coins, today there are about 1,500), and each one has news every day. I’m not doubting your ability to consume and analyze news, but that level of information bombardment will always be more effectively consumed as a group. In these communities, you’ll see members link news and relevant articles about coins you’ve invested in and coins you’ve never heard of. The community will definitely expand your knowledge much faster than doing it all yourself.
The Pure Investments community, as well as many other communities out there, have a free and paid membership. The paid membership is similar to the free one in that each one can access the community, but the paid one has more hands-on guidance from the analysts, and you can learn more through the education sections.
submitted by FmzQuant to CryptoCurrencyTrading [link] [comments]

Bitcoin Futures, Options, and Open Interest: Crypto Derivatives Break Records After the Halving

##https://news.bitcoin.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/05/gg77.jpg
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Since the market rout on March 12, otherwise known as ‘Black Thursday,’ bitcoin futures and options contracts have seen significant demand. On May 14, CME Group saw the total number of outstanding derivatives contracts (open interest) touch a high of $142 million. Four days later, CME broke records again. Data from the researchers at Skew.com detailed that CME’s regulated bitcoin options open interest is up 10x this month.
##Deribit’s Massive Options Volumes and CME Group’s Regulated Bitcoin Derivatives Markets Touch New Highs ##
Ever since the halving on May 11, there’s been a lot of action when it comes to bitcoin-based derivatives products. The research and analysis team from Skew.com publishes daily information about CME’s bitcoin futures and options, products from Bakkt, and a slew of other exchanges that offer crypto derivatives.
For instance, Skew detailed that the exchange Deribit’s bitcoin options open interest had touched $1 billion for the first time this week. On May 14, CME Group saw $142 million in 10-day combined daily volumes, which is far smaller than Deribit’s volumes but still a milestone for CME. The regulated exchange touched $172 million in total CME BTC options open interest, following the record performance four days prior.
https://news.bitcoin.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/05/image-2020-05-21-112250.jpg
On May 8, CME Group published a blog post about the bitcoin halving and discussed its derivatives products as well. “The emergence of a futures and options market has created a new ecosystem for bitcoin markets, which faces its first supply cut since 2016,” CME Group’s Payal Lakhani wrote at the time.The May 14, open interest breakout for CME Group’s bitcoin options was the first time it has ever crossed $100 million, Skew noted.
Deribit open interest only.
Between Deribit, CME, Bakkt, Okex, and Ledgerx the volumes pushed “total bitcoin options open interest to a new record [of] $1.1 billion,” Skew explained. Additionally, “CME bitcoin futures traded nearly $1 billion,” on May 12, 2020 the researchers disclosed.
##Bitcoin Halving Fuels Speculation, the Very Driver of Crypto Derivatives Markets ##
Even Bakkt’s trade volumes increased after the halving, despite lackluster trading volume months prior to the event. “Bakkt had a solid halving session with a record volume day in $ notional, $51.8 million bitcoin futures crossed,” Skew tweeted the day after bitcoin’s third halving.
Total BTC options open interest between five exchanges.
There’s been a lot of action with ethereum-based (ETH) derivatives products as well. Skew explained on May 21 that “17,500+ Jun20 240 calls traded yesterday on Deribit [at] $10.1 average dollar equivalent price.” When looking at Deribit’s ETH options buy/sell ration Skew said it “reads like overwriting as 76% of liquidity takers were sellers yesterday.”
https://news.bitcoin.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/05/4b0a23dc855c807a633fc5c44ef92ab9.png
The market carnage in mid-March was devastating to a lot of traders, and many derivatives players lost their shirts during massive liquidations. The price of BTC has strengthened since it dropped to $3,600 per coin on March 12, and cryptocurrency derivatives markets have seen a great deal of increased action since then as well. Moreover, the third bitcoin halving that took place on May 11, 2020, at 2:30 p.m. ET, sparked even more interest in bitcoin-based futures and options contracts betting on the next few months.
What do you think about the latest interest increase in bitcoin derivatives products? Let us know in the comments below.
##Tags in this story ## Bitcoin Deravitives, bitcoin futures, CME Group, crypto derivatives, Cryptocurrency, deribit, derivatives products, Futures, LedgerX, Markets, Okex, options, Skew Research, Skew.com, trading
**Image Credits: Shutterstock, Pixabay, Wiki Commons, Skew.com
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only. It is not a direct offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell, or a recommendation or endorsement of any products, services, or companies. Bitcoin.com does not provide investment, tax, legal, or accounting advice. Neither the company nor the author is responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss caused or alleged to be caused by or in connection with the use of or reliance on any content, goods or services mentioned in this article.
Read disclaimer
Source: https://thedailyblockchain.news/2020/05/24/bitcoin-futures-options-and-open-interest-crypto-derivatives-break-records-after-the-halving/
submitted by iMakeWebsites4u to daily_blockchain_news [link] [comments]

5 YouTube Videos about Futures Trading

5 YouTube Videos about Futures Trading
5 YouTube Videos about Futures Trading
How do I start trading crypto futures? Do I know their nature? How does it work? All these questions come to your mind when you discover the world of futures trading. To help you we have found some good videos for you! 🔥
📽 The video is about the nature of future market. Although the video is mainly about agricultural sphere, the explanation with visuals examples is a great way to understand how futures work.
📽 The second video shows how bitcoin futures work. The explanation is made by the man from the London investment house Killik & Co. You will get the first class explanation is given with everyday examples that everyone will understand.
📽 This video is from CME Group Marketplace. It gives us the understanding of how futures contarcts work and what CME’s Bitcoin futures contracts are.
📽 Bitcoin futures are explained in a beginner-friendly way with examples of how futures work in other real world markets. The explanation is about going short vs. long on a futures contract, how futures prices track spot prices, how they are used to hedge against price fluctuations, how they are daily settled and leveraged, and how Bitcoin miners and speculators can use this financial instrument in the Bitcoin/crypto world.
📽 So, you have learnt about the nature of bitcoin futures and their contracts. It’s high time you learnt how to buy bitcoin futures. It is a good explanation from CNBS.
Now you ready to trade futures. You are welcome to visit our platform! 😎
https://preview.redd.it/lxjvng9htex41.png?width=1200&format=png&auto=webp&s=5f411b5725f1528f8198726c993626e1f49de56a
submitted by Cryptology_Exchange to cryptologyexch [link] [comments]

Bitcoin Halving & the Step to Maturation

Bitcoin Halving & the Step to Maturation
It’s about a week to the long-expected Bitcoin halving.
You can easily find a counting down page by visiting the website of any exchange, online magazine or data aggregator. Yes — everybody is waiting for it.

Source: Bitcoin Block Half
It’s an event that brings both predictability and uncertainty.

What is Predictable?

Bitcoin was designed as a deflationary currency with a 21 million fixed supply, like gold. Over time, the issuance of bitcoins will decrease and thus become scarcer.
When it was first created, 50 Bitcoins per block were given as a reward to the miners. After every 210,000 blocks are mined (approximately every 4 years), the block reward halves and will keep on halving until the block reward per block becomes 0 (approximately by year 2140).
At about 06:18 UTC on May 12, 2020 (as of writing), the block rewards of Bitcoin will drop from 12.5 BTC to 6.25 BTC.

What is Uncertain?


Source: https://www.bitcoinblockhalf.com/
As is shown in this chart, we can note a significant price jump after each halving.
But will this time turn out to be a different story when both the stock market and the crypto market are much more volatile than usual due to the global COVID-19 pandemic?
The past few months saw a big shakeout in the crypto market due to the coronavirus pandemic and its aftermath. On March 12, the Bitcoin price dumped 40% touching $3,800 within the day, marking a Black Thursday of the year.
The stock market went through a severe crash too. The US stock market triggered the “circuit breaker” four times within 10 days.
Just recently, the Bitcoin price soared above $9,000 and has now retraced to $8,864 at the time of writing, according to the statistics on CoinMarketCap.
Nobody knows for sure how things will be when the halving happens. Will the Bitcoin price be even more volatile or will it stabilize?

2020 Bitcoin Maturity Test

According to the Bloomberg Crypto Outlook (April 2020 Edition), the increasing futures open interest, declining volatility and relative outperformance despite the stock-market shakeout this year indicates Bitcoin is maturing from a speculative crypto asset toward a digital version of gold.

Increasing futures open interest


Source: skew
The number of Bitcoin futures contracts outstanding listed on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) has recovered significantly from the March lows, indicating a resurgence in institutions that want to buy the cryptocurrency. The high volume also represents taming of the highly speculative bull market.

Declining Volatility


Source: Bloomberg
This graphic shows that the correlation between Bitcoin and gold has jumped to the highest since 2010, twice that of equities, suggesting that Bitcoin is now divorcing equities and joining gold.

Bitcoin Outperformed Stock Market

Apart from that, Bitcoin is becoming less of a risk-on asset. In the first quarter of 2020, Bitcoin remained up about 9% when the S&P 500 showed a correction of 20%.

To Sum Up

2020 marks a key test for Bitcoin’s transition from speculative asset to the crypto market’s version of gold. We believe that the first-born crypto will pass the test to move towards a mature gold-like asset.
At Leverj, we are working actively on the decentralized derivatives market including Bitcoin perpetuals which is expected to be launched in a couple of months.
Visit live.leverj.io to enjoy our zero-fee trading for a limited period of time as of now. Follow us on Twitter or join our Telegram group to stay tuned for our updates.
Please keep in mind
US Persons are not allowed to trade on Leverj. Users from sanctioned countries or Specially Designated National (SDN) as per OFAC are also not allowed to use the system.
Before you trade, please make sure you are legally permitted to trade cryptocurrencies, derivatives, and any other instruments offered on this platform from your home jurisdiction.
Nothing in this article constitutes an offer, solicitation, or investment advise.
submitted by L_Xiaoqing to Leverj [link] [comments]

latest call...running diary

Quick thoughts as I listened in real time. Only half way through, will come back and finish later.
Classic stuff. If you create a video...with the right copy...they will come.
  1. CME Bitcoin day 1 Chris explains he would have buried that story on presumed "low volume" in his expert opinion. This from the same man who highlights CWH's and the ongoing SEC investigation in recent SEC rule review documentation. I mean, talk about something that should be buried. He really does think he is going to beat the SEC and be part of some new rule set.
  2. Maine Governor veto of legalized gaming...my god. The moral argument is the worst, they are making it safer through transparency. People in Maine don't book off shore? There are what? 17+ states already in. What is he going to do when the wire act goes?
  3. Alper anything to say? Nope, just wanted to know what state. Probably smart to not fuel Chris' rants about anything not ASM.
  4. Neil takes the stage....silence....nothing to add. Thank's Neil, dynamite as always!
  5. Chris figures the road to regulation is non-regulation.
  6. 20 years later and nothing like ASM exists in the world. Oh, wait...
  7. chris rambling about the "tech"? Is he talking about the actual software or math of market? Tech feel 20 years old IMO and the math has been broken (see $10B market cap coming next week).
  8. Note on tech; ASM tech is literally an open order book exchange. There are literally a million of them which look and feel better from both a UX and UI perspective. For someone who says he knows so much about crypto pull any exchange and the "tech" is better than ASM.
  9. No Action Letter? Are we to believe the No action will not be effected by the SEC investigation or Judge calling it a Ponzi?
  10. Chris now going rogue against the establishment and regulatory process.
  11. Chris debates, should have kept ASM in Costa Rica? Pura Vida!
  12. 25 Trademarks? ummmmm, money well spent?
  13. Chris calls for the first order for the order book! We need a customer!
  14. Chris positions ASM to ask for forgiveness and not permission. Regulation be damned! America!!
  15. Chris is a cord cutter! Long live youtube!
  16. Random thought, Chris doesn't seem to ever speak to the actual market and news of sports or the speed at which teams, leagues and brands are moving in and around the "gaming" space. Not just "betting". seems a major blind spot and makes him sound very off market for someone who is CEO of a sports stock market.
  17. Chris says to now create videos to bring in the team fans so they can be the advocates to the teams. Seems like a great strategy that will work very quickly. Nothing like fans cold calling on ASM's behalf because of a video they saw. Social media, tho!!
  18. See point 16, how is he so oblivious to what is happening in 2020 in sports?? Cowboys office on a Tuesday??
  19. Clipper Darrel reference -- DRINK!!
  20. Chris is an expert at affiliate metrics. Don't even try anything else.
  21. Here come the Packers and Stock talk...casual fans know this and will jump on.
  22. Here comes Alper! He hates the GB example...this should be interesting...
  23. Alper seems to argue GB is more buy and hold (souvenir) vs trading, which is what ASM wants. A sound argument against the GB narrative. Will see what Chris says...
  24. Chris only wants to use it as a way to associate the team/public ownership.
  25. Alper brings up the fact that you don't own the actual team and only the cash flow is from the the platform itself. Interesting, he seems to believe in the math. (publicly)
  26. Chris wants new words on how to speak to fans.
  27. Question; With $5M spent, has an actual marketing team or branding team ever been brought in?? Listening to Chris talk about a video he wants to produce is insanity. Holy shit.
  28. Alper, another good point. Its the market, stupid! haha
  29. Chris really getting exposed. He's literally the guy at the dart board.
  30. Alper hates GB. Hates videos.
  31. Chris arguing the video push. Think the big take away is a clear issue with Chris wanting to wear every hat in ASM. Why is he now a video producer and marketer? This highlights the major issue ASM has had. Chris' hands in places they shouldn't be.
  32. Good copy in our video will get all sports fans to come to ASM. And automated leads.
  33. AND WE'RE BACK...UPDATE AFTER INTERMISSION
  34. Alper defends the need for a compelling call to action and says the video idea is basically ridiculous. basically common sense (meant as compliment).
  35. Chris' response "my goodness", he wants his chance to make a video because "other videos" have gained traction.
  36. Chris defends if there is a "video" fans will love concept of trading shares so much they will email biz dev teams. because the video (that chris makes) is amazing. He hasn't had "a hand in it" yet. Steven fucking Spielberg.
  37. As chris speaks it goes back to chris' lack of insight to the sports world post papa. he sounds like he's speaking in 2016
  38. Bernie reference - DRINK!
  39. Zach reference - DRINK!
  40. Chris arguing "build it and they will come" or email teams. not sure
  41. Alper arguing the reality of what they are trying to sell fans because on ASM doesn't give ownership and in the actual stock market people actually own a piece of the company and still choose to do nothing to help that company. Clearly articulating why a video isn't going to drive thousands of fans to email the teams. Chris really has lost it, he only sees one way. Beautiful to watch.
  42. Neil jumps in...should be good. "We should build a product, market, then get users". He must have missed Chris talking about the "tech".
  43. Neil says there is no product. Says learning market is shit.
  44. Go Neil go! Says there is NO MONEY.
  45. Neil, "Show me the money"
  46. Chris says ASM needs an actual deal with every team!!! woah....that sounds unlikely. says teams won't touch it. UNLESS, smaller teams get in.
  47. Bernie reference - DRINK!
  48. Zach reference - DRINK!
  49. Chris says Bernie won't touch it as is.
  50. Chris admits market as is is worthless without teams/leagues. Can't go to real money.
  51. HOW WILL THEY RESET AND GET PEOPLE THEIR MONEY AFTER THAT ADMISSION. MARKET IS WORTHLESS AS IS WITHOUT TEAMS.
  52. Chris didn't know about licensing. Luck. Why non-profit umbrella allows use of logos (or so they think now...)
  53. Kinda of confused. Earlier in call Chris was all about regulation be damned. Now he is discussing risk in going forward with a real money market as is.
  54. turning on a real market is a risk chris won't take for fear of using logos? why not simply use colors? fair use?
  55. Alper discussing what they need to show leagues/teams = product market fit. not proof of concept.
  56. Alper argues they need scale to have any chance at growing. chicken and egg (leagues vs fans first)
  57. Chris wants to refine how to get the "word out" on ASM.
  58. Neil is back! He wants the market open with real money!
  59. Chris outlines the risks. I'm still missing why not simply go to the leagues and get licensing agreements to do this. Sort of like selling hats and t-shirts. Letting this drag out has been a death sentence.
  60. Chris says leagues won't touch ASM.
  61. Chris won't defend path to go real money with big 4.
  62. I thought chris was resigning in 2020, that would solve that?
  63. Hello to all the new listeners. What new listeners? I guess the people giving donations?

Headline...
Chris admits the real money market using big 4 is dead and done. Basically says the current market is worthless and that people are trading for "fun" effectively because there is no real money behind it.
submitted by WallaceChristopher to ASMEunfiltered [link] [comments]

Key Bitcoin Trading Tips

Bitcoin Trading Tip #1: Become Fluent in Technical Analysis

The nature of Bitcoin makes it an outlier in comparison to other asset classes or currencies. There is no central bank or governing body to influence its valuation. News events can have unpredictable impacts, and other financial instruments exhibit sporadic correlations. In fact, Bitcoin pricing models are largely speculative, ignoring a great deal of traditional financial theory.
Understanding the basics of technical analysis is an absolute must before entering the Bitcoin markets. In many ways, price itself provides the only dependable clues pertaining to Bitcoin’s future value. The lack of relevant market fundamentals places an impetus upon analyzing pricing charts, applying indicators, and reading price action.

Bitcoin Trading Tip #2: Adopt a Sustainable Pace

Trading is a marathon, not a sprint. One of the most important tasks facing Bitcoin market participants is establishing a schedule that is sustainable over the long haul. Putting in extraordinarily long hours on a daily basis leads to burnout and subpar performance.

Bitcoin Trading Tip #3: Stay Aware of News Items

Bitcoin is unique in that typical news items do not have a predictable impact upon the markets. There are no scheduled GDP releases, WASDE or EIA inventory reports to boost participation and skew pricing.

Bitcoin Trading Tip #4: Implement Stop Losses

Consistent volatility is an attribute of Bitcoin markets that is particularly attractive to active traders and investors. Valuations regularly fluctuate between 5 percent and 10 percent daily , creating opportunities for traders with an appetite for risk.
No matter if a trader is engaging the cash, CFD, or Bitcoin futures markets, using stop losses is a must when trading Bitcoin. The wide swings in pricing are certainly ripe for profit, but the potential for catastrophe does exist.
It’s absolutely imperative that you use a stop loss somewhere in the market — the exact placement will vary — to protect any open position.

Bitcoin Trading Tip #5: Use Prudent Leverage

It’s a cliché, but leverage is truly a double-edged sword: It boosts gains but magnifies losses. Too much leverage promotes reckless money management and will lead to blowing out your trading account. Too little can hinder performance because premium trades may not perform up to their capabilities. Ultimately, effectively managing leverage is a balancing act that a Bitcoin trader must conduct.
Bitcoin futures products may help you manage leverage because they place an extra emphasis on proper leveraging. The offerings of the CME Group and Chicago Futures Exchange (CFE) are priced at $25 and $10 per tick, respectively. To say the least, it can be capitally intensive to take multicontract positions.
A simple way to define position sizing is the 3 percent rule. Under its parameters, a maximum of 3 percent of the trading account may be assigned to a single trade. This ensures the proper alignment of risk to reward with respect to position sizing and stop loss location.
submitted by Boomah422 to contractstrilema [link] [comments]

Bitcoin and cryptocurrency trading strategy in a panic on the coronavirus.

Bitcoin and cryptocurrency trading strategy in a panic on the coronavirus.
The upcoming problems with banks and the Fed’s money printing are excellent opportunities for cryptocurrencies and blockchain projects. Incredible events are taking place in the stock market, the fastest falling markets in history, the spread of coronavirus in the United States and the likely risk of falling consumer demand, lower consumption and, as a result, recession.
Analysis in such conditions becomes impossible, the position of traders is removed from the market. The Fed’s cash infusion is $ 1.5 trillion per month and the base rate is reduced, as a result, money is poured into the market in order to stop the market from falling, but this may not be enough.

Oil war

In addition, a trade oil war was added to the coronavirus, and this could cause serious problems for US shale oil companies, whose production costs are $ 30–40. The US oil sector is sitting on a wild leverage, and as a result, banks that lend to them can start problems. Thus, is it possible to say that this is perhaps the best moment for cryptocurrency projects that can be competitive in comparison with the banking sector? Well, we still have to find out.

The fall of Bitcoin and the entire cryptocurrency market

Bitcoin’s collapse was stronger than the stock market for several reasons. Well, firstly, the correlation between the S&P 500 index and Bitcoin reached 1. If earlier Bitcoin was associated as a protective asset and did not have a pronounced correlation, now all markets have started to fall during a mass panic. By the way, you can check the correlation of your crypto portfolio for free at Holderlab.io

Bitcoin and S&P500 correlation

The search for liquidity as the beginning of accelerating the fall of cryptocurrencies

The reasons for the strong current decline in the cryptocurrency market may be due to the fact that stock market traders were looking for liquidity in order to maintain margin requirements. In this case, liquidity was sought in risky assets, those Bitcoins and cryptocurrencies, perhaps some traders went completely into the dollar. This is where the first wave of decline in the cryptocurrency market began.

Bitmex Margin Trading

The incoming wave from the reduction of positions in Bitcoin from stock market traders has demolished the position of margin traders on Bitmex. As a result, $ 500 million in long positions were liquidated in an hour, and it remains to be seen how many were liquidated for other trading pairs.

BitMEX XBTUSD Liquidations data from skew.com
As a result, we saw a drop up to $ 3800. A great lesson for those who trade with leverage.
Another curious fact is that cryptocurrency exchanges do not have mechanisms to stop trading, as we saw in the stock markets when there was a limit down on S&P500.

Trading Bitcoin Futures on CME

In anticipation of the elimination of margin positions on Bitmex and other crypto exchanges. Starting February 25, there was an active closing of long positions in Bitcoin futures and opening short positions on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange. Which also influenced the fall of bitcoin as a whole. Cryptocurrency exchange margin traders have become a blast wave for the fall of Bitcoin.

Cryptocurrency trading strategy in a panic situation

Already today cryptocurrencies are sold at a significant discount, but now we are forced to monitor the dynamics of the S & P500 index and the general news background, which can affect the price of Bitcoin. However, in our opinion, the best moment for the Bitcoin HODL is probably coming. Today we see a good discount before the upcoming halving.

Halving zone
Do not expect the best price, it is almost impossible to catch, if it is possible to place pending orders this is good, today you can slowly buy current prices.
Trade managing your risks and do not rely only on luck and leverage.
submitted by holderlab to Bitcoin [link] [comments]

End of day summary - 03/06

The Dow fell 256.50, or 0.98%, to 25,864.78 , the Nasdaq lost 162.98, or 1.87%, to 8,575.62 , and the S&P 500 declined 51.57, or 1.71%, to 2,972.37.

The stock market ended a volatile week on a lower note with the S&P 500 (-1.7%) settling just above its low from Monday. The benchmark index gained 0.6% for the week while the Dow Jones Industrial Average (-1.0%) outperformed, gaining 1.8% since last Friday.
In the U.S., nonfarm payrolls surged 273,000 in February and the unemployment rate fell back to 3.5%, which matches a five-decade low. Average hourly earnings grew 3.0% year-over-year. While a very strong report, it appears to be discounted because of the coronavirus, though it provides evidence that the U.S. economy was on solid footing before it hit. The trade deficit narrowed 6.7% to $45.3B in January as exports dipped 0.4% to $208.6B and imports dropped 1.6% to $253.9B. Wholesale inventories fell 0.4% in January, but sales jumped 1.6%.
In energy news, Reuters reported that OPEC's plans for prolonged oil cuts have been derailed as Russia refused to support the move contending it is too early to predict the effect of coronavirus on global energy demand. WTI crude for April delivery fell $4.62, or 10.1%, to end at $41.28 a barrel following the news of the OPEC blow-up. Also, Baker Hughes reported that the U.S. rig count is up 3 rigs from last week to 793.
The final session of the week was marred by a continued deterioration of sentiment due to the ongoing spread of the coronavirus while the pressure on growth expectations intensified. Treasuries essentially never stopped after Thursday's cash close, continuing their forceful charge in the overnight futures market. Treasuries did pull back from their highs in midday trade, but the long bond rallied to a fresh record high in the afternoon while the 10-yr note stopped a bit short of its best level of the day. The 10-yr yield fell 22 basis points to 0.71%, representing a 42-basis point drop for the week.
Expectations for another sharp rate cut remain in place with the fed funds futures market pointing to a 56.0% implied likelihood of a 75-basis point rate cut at or before the conclusion of the FOMC meeting on March 18.
The S&P 500 staged a 70-point rally during the final hour of trade, which led to a significant improvement in final sector standings, though all eleven sectors finished in the red.
Four groups surrendered 2.0% or more. Energy (-5.6%) and financials (-3.3%) were particularly weak throughout the day due to their exposure to growth and concerns about issuers of high-yield debt in the energy sector.
Bank stocks suffered from the drop in Treasury yields while energy companies struggled as oil fell $4.57, or 10.0%, to $41.32/bbl. The energy component ended the day at its lowest level since mid-2016 after OPEC+ could not agree to a sharp production cut despite yesterday's reports to the contrary. Russia's Energy Minister, Alexander Novak, said that OPEC+ countries are free to pump at will starting from April 1.
Shares of JPM were sharply lower amid the pullback in the market, though the bank's declines may also be made worse by news that CEO Jamie Dimon experienced an acute aortic dissection and underwent successful emergency heart surgery to repair the health issue. Co-Presidents and Chief Operating Officers Daniel Pinto and Gordon Smith will lead the company as Dimon recovers, the bank confirmed.
Shares of AAPL were lower after a fourth supplier cut guidance amid the ongoing coronavirus outbreak. ON cut its first quarter revenue outlook this morning, becoming the fourth Apple supplier to cut guidance this week after QRVO, SWKS and MCHP did so as well.
In company-specific news, COST reported better than expected Q2 results, but the stock still finished lower. AMD fared better than the broader market after reaffirming its guidance for FY20. The chipmaker did caution that Q1 results are likely to be on the low end of its guidance.
Among the noteworthy gainers were MRNA and OPK, which have each recently reported on efforts linked to combating the coronavirus. Airline stocks like ALK +4.0%, JBLU +0.1%), UAL, +1.0%, and DAL, +2.0% recorded gains on Friday after recovering from fresh multi-year lows. Alaska Air did warn that its guidance for FY20 should no longer be relied upon due to coronavirus-related uncertainty.
Among the notable losers was AOBC, which fell 30% after the gunmaker reported fiscal Q3 results below consensus and guidance. SBUX shares slid 1% after the company provided an update on the impact related to COVID-19 in China. Stifel analyst Chris O'Cull said the earnings impact to Starbucks' fiscal Q2 is likely larger than he projected, be he also pointed out that Starbucks noted there has been no perceptible impact from COVID-19 on the U.S. business.
Shares of cruise operators started the day in positive territory but retreated as the day went on. NCLH, -5.2% was the weakest performer of the bunch, stopping just above its record low (24.16) that was notched when the company went public in early 2013.
European stocks also fell sharply Friday as the coronavirus outbreak continues to impact businesses worldwide.

Currency

The U.S. Dollar Index dropped 0.9% to 95.98 and was down 2.2% for the week as rate-cut expectations boiled over. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, there is a 100% probability of another 50 basis points cut at the March 17-18 FOMC meeting and a 63% probability of a 75 basis points cut.

Treasury

U.S. Treasuries had another huge day as the stock market racked up another day of huge losses amid ongoing concerns about the spread of the coronavirus and budding credit worries. The 10-yr yield, which settled Thursday at 0.93%, went as low as 0.66% in today's curve-flattening trade before losing some steam.

Commodity

Oil prices plunged more than 8% to multi-year lows on Friday as OPEC’s allies rejected additional production cuts that the organization proposed Thursday. The meeting between OPEC and its allies, known as OPEC+, concluded with no deal on additional production cuts.
Agriculture:

Crypto

As global equity markets continue to get pummeled, bitcoin’s return to the $9,000 level may have been driven by some of the same forces causing a rally in bonds – a desire for respite from a coronavirus-plagued markets.

Bonds, Virus and Valuation

The move in Treasuries has been precipitated by flight-safety flows that have been fueled by economic growth concerns stemming from the spread of the coronavirus. It has also been stoked by momentum, interest rate differentials, and policy stimulus expectations, the latter of which have also been nothing short of stunning.
The CME FedWatch Tool is showing a 100% probability of another 50 basis points cut at the March 17-18 FOMC meeting and a 64% probability of a 75 basis points cut.
Those expectations capture the view that the coronavirus isn't "just another flu." It might have similar characteristics, but when was the last time entire cities were quarantined, professional sporting events were canceled, travel restrictions were imposed, orchestrated efforts to force employees to work from home, states of emergency were declared, U.S. schools were closed, and the Federal Reserve ushered in an emergency 50 basis points rate cut because of the flu?
Coronavirus is quite different from the flu because the reaction to it has been universally different -- and that reaction is what gets lost in the debate as to whether the coronavirus is "just another flu." Rightly or wrongly, the coronavirus is creating an economic disruption in a manner no normal flu has in our modern age and that is the important distinction for the capital markets and policymakers.
It's another reason why the strong employment report for February has been glossed over for the most part by the market. At any other time, the Treasury market would be selling off on today's report, and, arguably, the futures market would be moving sharply higher -- but this isn't any other time.
The key takeaway from the report isn't what was in the report, it was the lackluster response to it, which is a function of expecting employment reports in coming months not to look as good because of the coronavirus impact.
The market multiple has contracted to 16.7x, which is now in-line with the five-year average -- only it isn't because earnings estimates are going to fall further.

YTD

  • FAAMG + some penny stocks -4.4% YTD
  • Spoos -8.0% YTD
  • Old man -9.4% YTD
  • Russy -13.1% YTD
Summary scraped from the interweb. Took 0.18 seconds.
submitted by hibernating_brain to thewallstreet [link] [comments]

Weekly Wrap 13/03

Market News
The ripple effects of Coronavirus continued to cause a financial market bloodbath as some markets experienced their worst day since 1987. Bitcoin followed by tanking 60% to lows of around $3600 on some exchanges, its largest ever sell-off in USD terms. The leading digital asset shed $70 billion of its market cap in 24 hours. It was also Ethereum’s worst day in history as it lost over 40% in value.
While many are doubting if cryptoassets can continue to be classified as a non-correlated asset class, it is worth noting that even the safe haven asset Gold has been losing value since last week. It is expected that in times of market decline and global recession that people will pull back their investments overall, including riskier cryptoassets.
For now, Bitcoin seems to be hovering around the $5000 area but buy-volumes are low as investors appear scared to enter considering overall market uncertainty. It is worth noting that C10 has performed well relative to individual cryptoassets and the cash hedge has once again proven to be effective at preserving capital during times of market downturn.
Industry News
Special Annoucement: Message from CEO, Daniel Schwartzkopff:
In light of the escalating COVID-19 pandemic, I wanted to personally engage with you to let you know what steps we are taking in response to this mounting crisis.
Invictus Capital employees are working remotely when/where possible on governmental advice to practice social distancing and flatten the growth curve of the virus. Flattening the curve allows for the healthcare system to better cope with the critically ill over a longer period of time. Based on our research and discussions with medical professionals, greater than 50% of the population will contract the virus and it will eventually become seasonal in nature. This is currently primarily of concern to the elderly, the immunocompromised and those with pre-existing medical conditions.
All markets will be adversely affected perhaps foreseeably until the end of 2020 as global supply chains kick back into gear after lengthy periods of containment and quarantine. We are in regular contact with all our portfolio companies to see if/how they will be affected and are taking all measures possible to assist - currently minimal disruption is expected as tech companies adapt very easily to remote work. We are some of the fortunate ones as many industries will face severe economic hardship over the coming months - events, entertainment, travel and hospitality being some of the worst affected.
One of the benefits of being a natively digital platform is that a quarantine will have almost no effect on our ability to keep building and operating. I would like to highlight the success of our C10 fund’s cash hedging function in preserving value as it was almost entirely out of the market at the time of the recent collapse.
We are here with you and will keep you updated on any major market developments. The team is always available on Discord if you would like to speak to us directly. Please keep safe and take all relevant advised precautions.
Other News
submitted by Camaa to cryptotwenty [link] [comments]

CME seeks to double monthly BTC futures limit

What i don't understand is this. 100 million in BTC is a shit ton, and via CME you can soon bet that much and never ever touch actual Bitcoin. I just don't get how this is legal or a good thing. I mean, betting 100mil on Bitcoin but never buying any via the Spot market, like wtf. Why would anybody use cash settled when there are plenty of options to trade futures using physical bitcoin

https://www.coindesk.com/cme-seeks-to-double-monthly-bitcoin-futures-trading-limit-to-10k-btc
submitted by JohnnyLingoMusic to BitcoinMarkets [link] [comments]

Weekly Wrap 13/03

Market News
The ripple effects of Coronavirus continued to cause a financial market bloodbath as some markets experienced their worst day since 1987. Bitcoin followed by tanking 60% to lows of around $3600 on some exchanges, its largest ever sell-off in USD terms. The leading digital asset shed $70 billion of its market cap in 24 hours. It was also Ethereum’s worst day in history as it lost over 40% in value.
While many are doubting if cryptoassets can continue to be classified as a non-correlated asset class, it is worth noting that even the safe haven asset Gold has been losing value since last week. It is expected that in times of market decline and global recession that people will pull back their investments overall, including riskier cryptoassets.
For now, Bitcoin seems to be hovering around the $5000 area but buy-volumes are low as investors appear scared to enter considering overall market uncertainty. It is worth noting that C10 has performed well relative to individual cryptoassets and the cash hedge has once again proven to be effective at preserving capital during times of market downturn.
Industry News
Special Annoucement: Message from CEO, Daniel Schwartzkopff:
In light of the escalating COVID-19 pandemic, I wanted to personally engage with you to let you know what steps we are taking in response to this mounting crisis.
Invictus Capital employees are working remotely when/where possible on governmental advice to practice social distancing and flatten the growth curve of the virus. Flattening the curve allows for the healthcare system to better cope with the critically ill over a longer period of time. Based on our research and discussions with medical professionals, greater than 50% of the population will contract the virus and it will eventually become seasonal in nature. This is currently primarily of concern to the elderly, the immunocompromised and those with pre-existing medical conditions.
All markets will be adversely affected perhaps foreseeably until the end of 2020 as global supply chains kick back into gear after lengthy periods of containment and quarantine. We are in regular contact with all our portfolio companies to see if/how they will be affected and are taking all measures possible to assist - currently minimal disruption is expected as tech companies adapt very easily to remote work. We are some of the fortunate ones as many industries will face severe economic hardship over the coming months - events, entertainment, travel and hospitality being some of the worst affected.
One of the benefits of being a natively digital platform is that a quarantine will have almost no effect on our ability to keep building and operating. I would like to highlight the success of our C10 fund’s cash hedging function in preserving value as it was almost entirely out of the market at the time of the recent collapse.
We are here with you and will keep you updated on any major market developments. The team is always available on Discord if you would like to speak to us directly. Please keep safe and take all relevant advised precautions.
Other News
submitted by Camaa to InvictusCapital [link] [comments]

Spiking CME Bitcoin Futures Open Interest Could Signal Breakout Is Sundays Are the Perfect Time to Buy the Bitcoin Dip Data Shows BITCOIN A POR EL GAP DEL CME ¡CUIDADO!TIME TO TAKE PROFIT Trading Semanal  ANÁLISIS TÉCNICO Trader Training: Trading Bitcoin Futures on the CME  Axia Futures BITCOIN CME GAP EXPLAINED!! So what happens next?

CME CF Bitcoin Reference Rate (BRR) and CME CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI), a standardized reference rate and spot price index with independent oversight are accelerating the professionalization of bitcoin trading. CME CF Crypto Currencies Indices have been generating BRR and BRTI rates since November 2016 with several bitcoin exchanges and CME Bitcoin futures gap: Well, Bitcoin (BTC) is being traded 24/7 on majority of crypto exchanges, but not on CME. Bitcoin does not trade during weekends on CME and this causes gap on CME chart once the trading resumes on the platform. The CME gap on Bitcoin typically occurs when the price of Bitcoin moves after the CME futures market is closed 5 bitcoin, as defined by the CME CF Bitcoin Reference Rate (BRR) Minimum Price Fluctuation: Outright: $5.00 per bitcoin = $25.00 per contract<br>Calendar Spread: $1.00 per bitcoin = $5.00 per contract: Trading Hours: CME Globex: 5:00 p.m. – 4:00 p.m. Central Time Sunday – Friday. CME Surpasses Bakkt. Although CME is the new entrant in the Bitcoin futures options market, it has already surpassed Bakkt in terms of the reported trading volume. On the first day, the CME traded 55 contracts, which is worth around 275 BTC or $2.1 million. This figure trumps the $1.15 million traded on Bakkt since its launch on December 9. The Company's CME Direct platform offers side-by-side trading of exchange-listed and privately negotiated markets. Gold: Strong bullish sentiment in the hobby trader community. GOLD, 1D. Short. CME Futures chart of Bitcoin, regular scale, on the weekly time frame. If we connect the weekly candle (not the all time high) to the other highs we

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Spiking CME Bitcoin Futures Open Interest Could Signal Breakout Is

One technical factor potentially influencing institutions to remain short on Bitcoin is the existence multiple CME gaps that sit below where it is currently trading at. These gaps do have a high ... This coincidentally happened in the closing weekend of July, which is when the CME Bitcoin futures contract closes. The CME futures contract specification reads:“Trading terminates at 4:00 p.m ... CME Bitcoin Futures Gaps - Market Makers & Manipulation - Duration: 7:02. ... $100 A Day Trading On Binance - Cryptocurrency Trading For Beginners - Duration: 13:40. The Shanghai index is reminiscent of Bitcoin and is a recent example for us to lean on as a market that had a lot of speculation, and what we may consider to see playing out in this new asset class. Learn about bitcoin and its relation to the futures marketplace with modules that discuss bitcoin, the CME CF Bitcoin Reference Rate and Bitcoin futures. 4:11 Understanding Options on Bitcoin ...

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